Football · Israel Liga Bet South · 23/09, 20:15

Prediction: MS Hapoel Lod vs Beitar Tel Aviv Holon

Team pages: MS Hapoel Lod · Beitar Tel Aviv Holon

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

MS Hapoel Lod1.69

Beitar Tel Aviv Holon1

1X2

53% 24% 22%

MS Hapoel Lod Draw Beitar Tel Aviv Holon

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

MS Hapoel Lod 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDWDWLLDLW

Beitar Tel Aviv Holon 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWLDWDWLLL

Head-to-head

MS Hapoel Lod 1–0 Beitar Tel Aviv Holon (1 last)

MS Hapoel Lod1-0Beitar Tel Aviv Holon

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MS Hapoel Lod 1500 · Beitar Tel Aviv Holon 1480

	MS Hapoel Lod	Draw	Beitar Tel Aviv Holon
Our model	52%	26%	21%
Market	54%	23%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MS Hapoel Lod	Beitar Tel Aviv Holon
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.1	1.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.1	2.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.8 / 0.6	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.90

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
10:00 +5’	1.65	3.90	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MS Hapoel Lod 1–0–0 Beitar Tel Aviv Holon

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/11/25 Israel Liga Bet South	MS Hapoel Lod	1-0 HT 0-0	Beitar Tel Aviv Holon

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MS Hapoel Lod	Beitar Tel Aviv Holon
Beitar Ramat Gan	1-0 W	6-0 W
Maccabi Amishav Petah Tikva	1-3 L	0-0 D
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	1-5 L	1-1 D
Hakoah Amidar Ramat Gan	0-1 L	2-0 W
MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim	0-0 D	1-2 L
Bnei Jaljulia	4-0 W	2-0 W
AS Holon Mor	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Beitar Tel Aviv Holon (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MS Hapoel Lod

DDWDWLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	Beitar Ramat Gan Israel Liga Bet South	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
04/09	Maccabi Amishav Petah Tikva Israel Liga Bet South	0-1	1-3	3	7	L
27/02	Beitar Ramat Gan Israel Liga Bet South	0-0	0-0	4	10	D
19/02	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Israel Liga Bet South	1-2	1-5	2	8	L
12/02	Hakoah Amidar Ramat Gan Israel Liga Bet South	0-1	0-1	7	11	L
05/02	Maccabi Amishav Petah Tikva Israel Liga Bet South	0-0	1-0	4	9	W
30/01	MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim Israel Liga Bet South	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
22/01	Bnei Jaljulia Israel Liga Bet South	1-0	4-0	6	9	W
16/01	AS Holon Mor Israel Liga Bet South	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
07/01	Hapoel Kiryat Ono Israel Liga Bet South	0-0	0-0	2	4	D

Beitar Tel Aviv Holon

DWLDWDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Ironi Beit Dagan Israel Liga Bet South	1-1	1-2	0	5	L
27/02	Beitar Petah Tikva Israel Liga Bet South	1-0	1-2	10	5	L
19/02	Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa Israel Liga Bet South	0-2	1-3	9	6	L
13/02	Beitar Ramat Gan Israel Liga Bet South	2-0	6-0	3	3	W
06/02	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Israel Liga Bet South	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
31/01	Hakoah Amidar Ramat Gan Israel Liga Bet South	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
23/01	Maccabi Amishav Petah Tikva Israel Liga Bet South	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
15/01	MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim Israel Liga Bet South	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
09/01	Bnei Jaljulia Israel Liga Bet South	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
02/01	AS Holon Mor Israel Liga Bet South	1-0	1-1	1	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MS Hapoel Lod vs Beitar Tel Aviv Holon?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MS Hapoel Lod win (53%). Probabilities: MS Hapoel Lod 53%, draw 24%, Beitar Tel Aviv Holon 22%.

How many goals are expected in MS Hapoel Lod vs Beitar Tel Aviv Holon?

The model expects 2.69 goals (MS Hapoel Lod 1.69 · Beitar Tel Aviv Holon 1), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MS Hapoel Lod vs Beitar Tel Aviv Holon?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.