Football · Nigeria Premier League · 09/10, 18:30
Prediction: Katsina Utd vs Enyimba
Team pages: Katsina Utd · Enyimba
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Katsina Utd1.65
Enyimba0.86
1X2
Katsina Utd
Draw
Enyimba
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Katsina Utd
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Enyimba
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Katsina Utd
3–3
Enyimba
(6 last)
- Enyimba3-0Katsina Utd
- Katsina Utd3-2Enyimba
- Katsina Utd2-1Enyimba
- Enyimba3-0Katsina Utd
- Enyimba1-0Katsina Utd
- Katsina Utd2-1Enyimba
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katsina Utd 1489 · Enyimba 1507
| Katsina Utd | Draw | Enyimba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 27% | 18% |
| Market | 54% | 29% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Katsina Utd | Enyimba | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 50/13/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.5 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.5 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katsina Utd 3–0–3 Enyimba
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Nigeria Premier League | Enyimba | 3-0 | Katsina Utd |
| 24/11/25 Nigeria Premier League | Katsina Utd | 3-2 | Enyimba |
| 20/02/25 Nigeria Premier League | Katsina Utd | 2-1 | Enyimba |
| 06/10/24 Nigeria Premier League | Enyimba | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Katsina Utd |
| 28/04/24 Nigeria Premier League | Enyimba | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Katsina Utd |
| 17/01/24 Nigeria Premier League | Katsina Utd | 2-1 | Enyimba |
Standings · Nigeria Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enugu Rangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
| 3 | Doma United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Kano Pillars | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 12 |
| 5 | Barau FC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | Ikorodu City FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Bendel Insurance | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Katsina Utd | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 9 | Plateau United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | Kwara United | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Sporting Lagos | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 12 | Niger Tornadoes | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 9 |
| 13 | Ranchers Bees | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
| 14 | Shooting Stars | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 15 | Nasarawa United | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| 16 | Abia Warriors | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | Enyimba | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 7 |
| 18 | Warri Wolves FC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 19 | Inter Lagos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 5 |
| 20 | Kun Khalifat FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Katsina Utd | Enyimba |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Lagos | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Doma United | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Shooting Stars | 0-2 L | 4-2 W |
| Niger Tornadoes | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Kwara United | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Katsina Utd (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katsina Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Inter Lagos Nigeria Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 30/09 | Rivers United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/09 | Doma United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/09 | Shooting Stars Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Kwara United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Rivers United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Ikorodu City FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Bendel Insurance Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Enyimba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Plateau United Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 30/09 | Shooting Stars Nigeria Premier League |
3-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 23/09 | Sporting Lagos Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Inter Lagos Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Doma United Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 30/08 | Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | El Kanemi Warriors Nigeria Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Kwara United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Remo Stars Nigeria Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katsina Utd vs Enyimba?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Katsina Utd win (54%). Probabilities: Katsina Utd 54%, draw 28%, Enyimba 18%.
How many goals are expected in Katsina Utd vs Enyimba?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Katsina Utd 1.65 · Enyimba 0.86), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Katsina Utd vs Enyimba?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.