Football · Nigeria Premier League · 11/10, 17:00

Prediction: Plateau United vs Kano Pillars

Team pages: Plateau United · Kano Pillars

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.19Total

Plateau United1.55

Kano Pillars0.63

1X2

59% 27% 14%

Plateau United Draw Kano Pillars

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Plateau United 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLWDWDWL

Kano Pillars 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

WLDWWDDDDD

Head-to-head

Plateau United 2–1–3 Kano Pillars (6 last)

Plateau United1-0Kano Pillars
Kano Pillars2-1Plateau United
Plateau United2-1Kano Pillars
Kano Pillars2-1Plateau United
Plateau United1-1Kano Pillars
Kano Pillars2-1Plateau United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Plateau United 1510 · Kano Pillars 1527

	Plateau United	Draw	Kano Pillars
Our model	58%	28%	14%
Market	59%	27%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kano Pillars: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Plateau United	Kano Pillars
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/29/43%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 5.4	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.3	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.40

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.93

2 (+1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.53▲	Bet365 1.53
X	3.50 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40
2	7.50 → 6.25▼	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:28 +9’	1.45	3.50	7.50
23:03 +10’	1.53▲	3.40▼	6.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Plateau United 2–1–3 Kano Pillars

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Nigeria Premier League	Plateau United	1-0	Kano Pillars
21/12/25 Nigeria Premier League	Kano Pillars	2-1	Plateau United
22/03/25 Nigeria Premier League	Plateau United	2-1 HT 0-1	Kano Pillars
03/11/24 Nigeria Premier League	Kano Pillars	2-1	Plateau United
15/06/24 Nigeria Premier League	Plateau United	1-1	Kano Pillars
07/01/24 Nigeria Premier League	Kano Pillars	2-1	Plateau United

Standings · Nigeria Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	7	5	1	1	12	7	16
2	Rivers United	7	4	3	0	13	2	15
3	Doma United	7	4	1	2	10	8	13
4	Kano Pillars	8	2	6	0	12	8	12
5	Barau FC	7	3	3	1	10	7	12
5	Ikorodu City FC	8	3	3	2	10	7	12
7	Bendel Insurance	7	4	0	3	13	11	12
8	Katsina Utd	8	3	3	2	10	11	12
9	Plateau United	7	3	2	2	9	8	11
10	Kwara United	8	3	1	4	9	9	10
10	Sporting Lagos	8	2	4	2	9	9	10
12	Niger Tornadoes	8	2	3	3	6	7	9
13	Ranchers Bees	8	2	2	4	9	10	8
14	Shooting Stars	7	2	2	3	7	9	8
15	Nasarawa United	7	2	2	3	6	8	8
16	Abia Warriors	7	2	2	3	8	11	8
17	Enyimba	8	2	1	5	11	14	7
18	Warri Wolves FC	7	2	1	4	3	6	7
19	Inter Lagos	7	1	2	4	4	10	5
20	Kun Khalifat FC	7	1	2	4	5	14	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Plateau United	Kano Pillars
Enyimba	0-2 L	0-0 D
Inter Lagos	2-0 W	1-1 D
Doma United	2-2 D	4-1 W
Shooting Stars	3-1 W	0-0 D
Niger Tornadoes	1-1 D	3-2 W
Kwara United	1-0 W	2-2 D
Warri Wolves FC	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Kano Pillars (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Plateau United

LLWLWDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Enyimba Nigeria Premier League	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
27/09	Inter Lagos Nigeria Premier League	0-0	2-0	15	3	W
23/09	Doma United Nigeria Premier League	–	2-2	–	–	D
20/09	Shooting Stars Nigeria Premier League	0-1	3-1	7	5	W
13/09	Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
06/09	Kwara United Nigeria Premier League	1-0	1-0	10	2	W
30/08	Rivers United Nigeria Premier League	0-2	0-2	0	2	L
24/05	Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W
10/05	Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
03/05	Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League	–	0-1	–	–	L

Kano Pillars

WLDWWDDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	Shooting Stars Nigeria Premier League	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
03/10	Sporting Lagos Nigeria Premier League	0-1	1-1	10	0	D
03/10	Sporting Lagos Nigeria Premier League	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	Enyimba Nigeria Premier League	–	0-0	–	–	D
23/09	Inter Lagos Nigeria Premier League	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/09	Doma United Nigeria Premier League	2-0	4-1	3	5	W
06/09	Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League	–	3-2	–	–	W
30/08	Kwara United Nigeria Premier League	–	2-2	–	–	D
24/05	Plateau United Nigeria Premier League	–	0-1	–	–	L
10/05	Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Plateau United vs Kano Pillars?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Plateau United win (59%). Probabilities: Plateau United 59%, draw 27%, Kano Pillars 14%.

How many goals are expected in Plateau United vs Kano Pillars?

The model expects 2.19 goals (Plateau United 1.55 · Kano Pillars 0.63), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Plateau United vs Kano Pillars?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.