Football · Argentina Torneo A · 20/09, 20:00
Prediction: CA Bartolome Mitre vs San Martin Formosa
Team pages: CA Bartolome Mitre · San Martin Formosa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.87Total
CA Bartolome Mitre0.81
San Martin Formosa1.06
1X2
CA Bartolome Mitre
Draw
San Martin Formosa
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Bartolome Mitre
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
San Martin Formosa
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Bartolome Mitre
1–1–2
San Martin Formosa
(4 last)
- San Martin Formosa1-0CA Bartolome Mitre
- CA Bartolome Mitre2-0San Martin Formosa
- CA Bartolome Mitre1-1San Martin Formosa
- San Martin Formosa1-0CA Bartolome Mitre
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Bartolome Mitre 1454 · San Martin Formosa 1539
| CA Bartolome Mitre | Draw | San Martin Formosa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 34% | 40% |
| Market | 28% | 31% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.87 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Martin Formosa (rating 1454 vs 1539).
- H2H favours San Martin Formosa: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Bartolome Mitre | San Martin Formosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.5 | 2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Bartolome Mitre 1–1–2 San Martin Formosa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin Formosa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Bartolome Mitre |
| 17/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | CA Bartolome Mitre | 2-0 HT 0-0 | San Martin Formosa |
| 01/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | CA Bartolome Mitre | 1-1 HT 0-0 | San Martin Formosa |
| 30/03/25 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin Formosa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Bartolome Mitre |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
| 3 | Sol de America de Formosa | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | CA Douglas Haig | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 11 |
| 5 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 5 |
| 8 | Sportivo Belgrano | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 5 |
| 9 | CA Bartolome Mitre | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Bartolome Mitre | San Martin Formosa |
|---|---|---|
| CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Sportivo Belgrano | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| CA Douglas Haig | 0-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Sol de America de Formosa | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Defensores de Belgrano VR | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: San Martin Formosa (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Bartolome Mitre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 17/08 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 12/07 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
San Martin Formosa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 06/09 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 12/08 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Bartolome Mitre vs San Martin Formosa?
According to our model, the most likely result is an San Martin Formosa win (41%). Probabilities: CA Bartolome Mitre 27%, draw 32%, San Martin Formosa 41%.
How many goals are expected in CA Bartolome Mitre vs San Martin Formosa?
The model expects 1.87 goals (CA Bartolome Mitre 0.81 · San Martin Formosa 1.06), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Bartolome Mitre vs San Martin Formosa?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.