Football · Argentina Torneo A · 27/09, 16:00
Prediction: Club Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo
Team pages: Club Circulo Deportivo · Sol de Mayo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Club Circulo Deportivo2
Sol de Mayo0.32
1X2
Club Circulo Deportivo
Draw
Sol de Mayo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 59%
Most likely score
2-0 20%
Recent form · 10 last
Club Circulo Deportivo
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Sol de Mayo
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club Circulo Deportivo
4–1–1
Sol de Mayo
(6 last)
- Club Circulo Deportivo2-1Sol de Mayo
- Club Circulo Deportivo3-1Sol de Mayo
- Sol de Mayo0-0Club Circulo Deportivo
- Club Circulo Deportivo4-0Sol de Mayo
- Sol de Mayo4-1Club Circulo Deportivo
- Club Circulo Deportivo1-0Sol de Mayo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Circulo Deportivo 1499 · Sol de Mayo 1421
| Club Circulo Deportivo | Draw | Sol de Mayo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 18% | 4% |
| Market | 78% | 17% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Circulo Deportivo (rating 1499 vs 1421).
- H2H favours Club Circulo Deportivo: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Circulo Deportivo | Sol de Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6 | 2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.4 | 4.5 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Circulo Deportivo 4–1–1 Sol de Mayo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/26 Argentina Torneo A | Club Circulo Deportivo | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Sol de Mayo |
| 12/07/26 Argentina Torneo A | Club Circulo Deportivo | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Sol de Mayo |
| 10/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de Mayo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Club Circulo Deportivo |
| 05/09/25 Argentina Torneo A | Club Circulo Deportivo | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Sol de Mayo |
| 21/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de Mayo | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Club Circulo Deportivo |
| 20/04/25 Argentina Torneo A | Club Circulo Deportivo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sol de Mayo |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Costa Brava | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | San Martin de Mendoza | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportivo Rincon | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | FADEP Mendoza | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Juventud Unida Universitario | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Germinal de Rawson | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | Club Circulo Deportivo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Sol de Mayo | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 6 |
| 10 | Santamarina Tandil | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Circulo Deportivo | Sol de Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Germinal de Rawson | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| San Martin de Mendoza | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Santamarina Tandil | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| CA Costa Brava | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Juventud Unida Universitario | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Rincon | 0-0 D | 2-4 L |
| Guillermo Brown | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| FADEP Mendoza | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Circulo Deportivo (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Circulo Deportivo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 30/08 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 12/08 | Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | D |
Sol de Mayo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 30/08 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 13/08 | San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Circulo Deportivo win (78%). Probabilities: Club Circulo Deportivo 78%, draw 18%, Sol de Mayo 5%.
How many goals are expected in Club Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Club Circulo Deportivo 2 · Sol de Mayo 0.32), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo?
The model gives a 59% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.