Football · Argentina Torneo A · 27/09, 20:30
Prediction: Defensores de Belgrano VR vs CA Alvarado
Team pages: Defensores de Belgrano VR · CA Alvarado
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.81Total
Defensores de Belgrano VR0.98
CA Alvarado0.83
1X2
Defensores de Belgrano VR
Draw
CA Alvarado
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Defensores de Belgrano VR
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
CA Alvarado
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–5–0
CA Alvarado
(6 last)
- CA Alvarado0-0Defensores de Belgrano VR
- Defensores de Belgrano VR0-0CA Alvarado
- CA Alvarado0-0Defensores de Belgrano VR
- Defensores de Belgrano VR1-0CA Alvarado
- CA Alvarado1-1Defensores de Belgrano VR
- CA Alvarado0-0Defensores de Belgrano VR
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Defensores de Belgrano VR 1528 · CA Alvarado 1550
| Defensores de Belgrano VR | Draw | CA Alvarado | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 35% | 28% |
| Market | 38% | 32% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.81 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Defensores de Belgrano VR | CA Alvarado | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.6 | 1.5 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/90/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.1 | 2.8 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.5 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensores de Belgrano VR 1–5–0 CA Alvarado
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/19 Argentina Torneo A | CA Alvarado | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
| 05/05/18 Argentina Torneo A | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Alvarado |
| 29/04/18 Argentina Torneo A | CA Alvarado | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
| 23/04/17 Argentina Torneo A | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Alvarado |
| 23/03/17 Argentina Cup | CA Alvarado | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
| 12/12/16 Argentina Torneo A | CA Alvarado | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Alvarado | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Cipolletti | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Olimpo B Blanca | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| 5 | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | CDA Monte Maiz | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | Club Villa Mitre | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Huracan Las Heras | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Juventud Antoniana | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Defensores de Belgrano VR
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 12/08 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 09/08 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 13/07 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
CA Alvarado
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 13/09 | Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 12/08 | Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 05/07 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
4-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Defensores de Belgrano VR vs CA Alvarado?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Defensores de Belgrano VR win (37%). Probabilities: Defensores de Belgrano VR 37%, draw 34%, CA Alvarado 29%.
How many goals are expected in Defensores de Belgrano VR vs CA Alvarado?
The model expects 1.81 goals (Defensores de Belgrano VR 0.98 · CA Alvarado 0.83), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Defensores de Belgrano VR vs CA Alvarado?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.