Football · Morocco GNF 2 · 27/09, 18:00

Prediction: Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir vs JS Soualem

Team pages: Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir · JS Soualem

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.07Total

Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir1.12

JS Soualem0.94

1X2

38% 34% 28%

Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir Draw JS Soualem

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir 3-7-0 (W-D-L)

DWWDDWDDDD

JS Soualem 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLDDLWWD

Head-to-head

Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir 2–3–1 JS Soualem (6 last)

JS Soualem1-1Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir
Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir1-3JS Soualem
Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir1-1JS Soualem
Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir2-0JS Soualem
JS Soualem1-2Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir
Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir1-1JS Soualem

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir 1534 · JS Soualem 1488

	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir	Draw	JS Soualem
Our model	38%	33%	29%
Market	38%	34%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.07 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir (rating 1534 vs 1488).
H2H favours Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir	JS Soualem
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 0.4	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/67/0%	43/29/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.4	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	5.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.40

X2.63

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.08

2 (+0.25)1.73

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.90

Under 1.751.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
14:06 +8’	2.40	2.63	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir 2–3–1 JS Soualem

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 Morocco GNF 2	JS Soualem	1-1 HT 0-0	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir
15/02/26 Morocco GNF 2	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir	1-3 HT 1-0	JS Soualem
26/03/25 Morocco Cup	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir	1-1	JS Soualem
09/07/21 Morocco GNF 2	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir	2-0	JS Soualem
21/03/21 Morocco GNF 2	JS Soualem	1-2	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir
28/09/20 Morocco GNF 2	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir	1-1	JS Soualem

Standings · Morocco GNF 2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chabab Atlas Khénifra	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Chabab Mohammedia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ittihad Khemisset	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JS Soualem	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JS Massira	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	KAC Kenitra	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mouloudia Oujda	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OC Safi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Olympique Khouribga	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Olympique Dcheira	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Union Sportive Boujaad	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stade Marocain Du Rabat	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USM Oujda	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	US Yacoub El Mansour	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WAF Widad Fes	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir	JS Soualem
Mouloudia Oujda	1-1 D	1-1 D
JS Massira	0-0 D	0-3 L
US Amal Tiznit	1-0 W	1-2 L
USM Oujda	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir

DWWDDWDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/07	JS Soualem Morocco GNF 2	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
27/06	Union Sportive Boujaad Morocco GNF 2	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
20/06	Mouloudia Oujda Morocco GNF 2	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
13/06	MAT Tetouan Morocco GNF 2	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
07/06	Racing de Casablanca Morocco GNF 2	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
23/05	JS Massira Morocco GNF 2	0-0	0-0	10	5	D
09/05	WAF Widad Fes Morocco GNF 2	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
03/05	Stade Marocain Du Rabat Morocco GNF 2	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
25/04	US Amal Tiznit Morocco GNF 2	0-0	1-0	7	9	W
05/04	USM Oujda Morocco GNF 2	–	1-1	–	–	D

JS Soualem

DLLLDDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/07	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir Morocco GNF 2	0-0	1-1	0	5	D
27/06	KAC Kenitra Morocco GNF 2	1-0	2-1	2	0	W
20/06	USM Oujda Morocco GNF 2	–	2-0	–	–	W
14/06	US Amal Tiznit Morocco GNF 2	–	1-2	–	–	L
06/06	Raja Beni Mellal Morocco GNF 2	1-0	1-1	5	8	D
23/05	SC Chabab Mohammedia Morocco GNF 2	1-1	2-2	8	3	D
09/05	Chabab Atlas Khénifra Morocco GNF 2	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
03/05	Widad Temara Morocco GNF 2	0-1	2-3	6	12	L
26/04	JS Massira Morocco GNF 2	–	0-3	–	–	L
04/04	Mouloudia Oujda Morocco GNF 2	1-0	1-1	1	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir vs JS Soualem?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir win (38%). Probabilities: Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir 38%, draw 34%, JS Soualem 28%.

How many goals are expected in Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir vs JS Soualem?

The model expects 2.07 goals (Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir 1.12 · JS Soualem 0.94), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir vs JS Soualem?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.