Football · Morocco GNF 2 · 04/10, 17:00

Prediction: JS Soualem vs JS Massira

Team pages: JS Soualem · JS Massira

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.23Total

JS Soualem1.2

JS Massira1.03

1X2

38% 32% 30%

JS Soualem Draw JS Massira

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

JS Soualem 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDDLWWDL

JS Massira 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDDLWLWW

Head-to-head

JS Soualem 1–2–1 JS Massira (4 last)

JS Massira3-0JS Soualem
JS Soualem0-0JS Massira
JS Soualem2-0JS Massira
JS Massira1-1JS Soualem

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JS Soualem 1465 · JS Massira 1509

	JS Soualem	Draw	JS Massira
Our model	38%	31%	30%
Market	38%	32%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.23 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JS Massira (rating 1465 vs 1509).
Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JS Soualem	JS Massira
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/29/43%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.4	2 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.4	5.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.35

X2.75

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.35▲	Bet365 2.35
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	3.30 → 3.00▼	Pinn 3.15 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:55 +10’	2.20	2.75	3.30
17:02 +1’	2.35▲	2.75	3.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:11 +39’	2.35	2.64	3.13
11:33 +150’	2.32▼	2.69▲	3.11▼
16:02 +61’	2.35▲	2.72▲	3.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JS Soualem 1–2–1 JS Massira

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Morocco GNF 2	JS Massira	3-0	JS Soualem
08/11/25 Morocco GNF 2	JS Soualem	0-0	JS Massira
07/04/19 Morocco GNF 2	JS Soualem	2-0	JS Massira
08/12/18 Morocco GNF 2	JS Massira	1-1	JS Soualem

Standings · Morocco GNF 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	WAF Widad Fes	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
2	Ittihad Khemisset	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
3	USM Oujda	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
4	Mouloudia Oujda	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
5	Olympique Dcheira	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
6	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
6	US Yacoub El Mansour	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
8	JS Massira	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
9	Olympique Khouribga	2	1	0	1	4	1	3
10	OC Safi	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
11	Union Sportive Boujaad	2	0	1	1	0	3	1
12	KAC Kenitra	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
13	Stade Marocain Du Rabat	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
14	SC Chabab Mohammedia	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
14	JS Soualem	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
16	Chabab Atlas Khénifra	2	0	0	2	1	6	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JS Soualem	JS Massira
Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir	0-2 L	0-0 D
KAC Kenitra	2-1 W	1-1 D
US Amal Tiznit	1-2 L	1-1 D
Raja Beni Mellal	1-1 D	3-1 W
SC Chabab Mohammedia	2-2 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: JS Massira (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JS Soualem

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir Morocco GNF 2	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
05/07	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir Morocco GNF 2	0-0	1-1	0	5	D
27/06	KAC Kenitra Morocco GNF 2	1-0	2-1	2	0	W
20/06	USM Oujda Morocco GNF 2	–	2-0	–	–	W
14/06	US Amal Tiznit Morocco GNF 2	–	1-2	–	–	L
06/06	Raja Beni Mellal Morocco GNF 2	1-0	1-1	5	8	D
23/05	SC Chabab Mohammedia Morocco GNF 2	1-1	2-2	8	3	D
09/05	Chabab Atlas Khénifra Morocco GNF 2	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
03/05	Widad Temara Morocco GNF 2	0-1	2-3	6	12	L
26/04	JS Massira Morocco GNF 2	–	0-3	–	–	L

JS Massira

WWDDDLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Stade Marocain Du Rabat Morocco GNF 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
05/07	Raja Beni Mellal Morocco GNF 2	–	3-1	–	–	W
27/06	WAF Widad Fes Morocco GNF 2	0-1	0-3	5	7	L
20/06	Racing de Casablanca Morocco GNF 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
14/06	Stade Marocain Du Rabat Morocco GNF 2	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
07/06	US Amal Tiznit Morocco GNF 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
23/05	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir Morocco GNF 2	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
09/05	KAC Kenitra Morocco GNF 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
02/05	SC Chabab Mohammedia Morocco GNF 2	0-1	3-1	0	7	W
26/04	JS Soualem Morocco GNF 2	–	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JS Soualem vs JS Massira?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JS Soualem win (38%). Probabilities: JS Soualem 38%, draw 32%, JS Massira 30%.

How many goals are expected in JS Soualem vs JS Massira?

The model expects 2.23 goals (JS Soualem 1.2 · JS Massira 1.03), with a 56% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in JS Soualem vs JS Massira?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.