Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 12/10, 19:00

Prediction: Benfica B vs Felgueiras 1932

Team pages: Benfica B · Felgueiras 1932

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

Benfica B1.34

Felgueiras 19321.07

1X2

42% 29% 29%

Benfica B Draw Felgueiras 1932

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Benfica B 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWDLLW

Felgueiras 1932 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWDDDWLL

Head-to-head

Benfica B 2–1–1 Felgueiras 1932 (4 last)

Benfica B4-2Felgueiras 1932
Felgueiras 19322-1Benfica B
Felgueiras 19323-3Benfica B
Benfica B2-0Felgueiras 1932

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Benfica B 1515 · Felgueiras 1932 1514

	Benfica B	Draw	Felgueiras 1932
Our model	42%	30%	29%
Market	43%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Benfica B: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Benfica B	Felgueiras 1932
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.1	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.9	2.1 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.3	5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.30

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 00:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.15▲	Bet365 2.15
X	3.20 → 3.30▲	Bet365 3.30
2	3.25 → 3.10▼	Pinn 3.45 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 9.1% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
07:42 +4’	2.10	3.20	3.25
15:05 +14’	2.25▲	3.25▲	2.90▼
19:11 +13’	2.10▼	3.30▲	3.10▲
00:06 +11’	2.15▲	3.30	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:42 +333’	2.14	3.22	3.50
13:41 +179’	2.14	3.24▲	3.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Benfica B 2–1–1 Felgueiras 1932

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Portugal Segunda Liga	Benfica B	4-2 HT 2-0	Felgueiras 1932
13/09/25 Portugal Segunda Liga	Felgueiras 1932	2-1 HT 1-1	Benfica B
04/05/25 Portugal Segunda Liga	Felgueiras 1932	3-3 HT 1-1	Benfica B
22/12/24 Portugal Segunda Liga	Benfica B	2-0 HT 1-0	Felgueiras 1932

Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lusitania Lourosa	6	5	1	0	11	4	16
2	Penafiel	7	4	1	2	14	7	13
3	Tondela	7	4	0	3	8	6	12
3	Sporting B	6	4	0	2	8	6	12
5	SC Farense	6	3	2	1	11	5	11
6	Vizela	6	3	2	1	7	4	11
7	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	7	5	10
8	UD Leiria	6	3	1	2	10	7	10
9	Leixoes	7	3	1	3	9	8	10
10	Portimonense	7	3	1	3	6	7	10
11	AVS	7	2	3	2	8	7	9
12	Academica	6	3	0	3	8	10	9
13	FC Porto B	7	2	1	4	6	14	7
14	Felgueiras 1932	6	1	3	2	5	6	6
15	SCU Torreense	7	1	3	3	7	10	6
16	Amarante	7	1	2	4	6	10	5
17	Chaves	6	1	1	4	5	13	4
18	Feirense	6	0	1	5	1	8	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Benfica B	Felgueiras 1932
Portimonense	1-1 D	1-1 D
UD Leiria	2-1 W	2-1 W
FC Porto B	0-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Felgueiras 1932 (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Benfica B

LWLLWWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Academica Portugal Segunda Liga	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
05/09	SCU Torreense Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
30/08	Amarante Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-1	7	1	L
21/08	Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	1-1	10	7	D
15/08	UD Leiria Portugal Segunda Liga	1-1	2-1	1	4	W
10/08	Leixoes Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	1-0	1	8	W
15/05	FC Porto B Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	0-2	8	5	L
09/05	Academico Viseu Portugal Segunda Liga	0-2	0-2	7	6	L
01/05	Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	1-0	3	11	W
26/04	Maritimo Portugal Segunda Liga	0-2	1-2	5	8	L

Felgueiras 1932

WLDWDDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
06/09	Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
30/08	Chaves Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	2-1	3	7	W
24/08	SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
17/08	AVS Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
09/08	Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
17/05	UD Oliveirense Portugal Segunda Liga	2-1	5-1	5	1	W
09/05	Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga	1-1	1-1	1	4	D
04/05	FC Porto B Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-1	9	10	L
25/04	UD Leiria Portugal Segunda Liga	1-1	2-1	0	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Benfica B vs Felgueiras 1932?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Benfica B win (42%). Probabilities: Benfica B 42%, draw 29%, Felgueiras 1932 29%.

How many goals are expected in Benfica B vs Felgueiras 1932?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Benfica B 1.34 · Felgueiras 1932 1.07), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Benfica B vs Felgueiras 1932?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.