Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 10/10, 16:30

Prediction: Leixoes vs FC Porto B

Team pages: Leixoes · FC Porto B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

Leixoes2.05

FC Porto B1.06

1X2

59% 23% 18%

Leixoes Draw FC Porto B

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Leixoes 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWLWWD

FC Porto B 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLWLLD

Head-to-head

Leixoes 4–2 FC Porto B (6 last)

FC Porto B0-3Leixoes
Leixoes2-4FC Porto B
FC Porto B0-1Leixoes
Leixoes3-0FC Porto B
FC Porto B0-2Leixoes
Leixoes1-3FC Porto B

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leixoes (rating 1565 vs 1471).
H2H favours Leixoes: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Leixoes	FC Porto B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	0.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.1	1.5 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.3	6.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:51

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.56 → 1.56	Pinn 1.56
X	3.96 → 3.96	Pinn 3.96
2	5.64 → 5.64	Pinn 5.64

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:14 +517’	1.56	3.96	5.64

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Leixoes 4–0–2 FC Porto B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/04/26 Portugal Segunda Liga	FC Porto B	0-3 HT 0-3	Leixoes
06/12/25 Portugal Segunda Liga	Leixoes	2-4 HT 1-2	FC Porto B
16/03/25 Portugal Segunda Liga	FC Porto B	0-1 HT 0-1	Leixoes
27/10/24 Portugal Segunda Liga	Leixoes	3-0 HT 2-0	FC Porto B
24/02/24 Portugal Segunda Liga	FC Porto B	0-2 HT 0-1	Leixoes
01/10/23 Portugal Segunda Liga	Leixoes	1-3 HT 1-0	FC Porto B

Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lusitania Lourosa	6	5	1	0	11	4	16
2	Penafiel	6	4	1	1	13	5	13
3	Sporting B	6	4	0	2	8	6	12
4	SC Farense	6	3	2	1	11	5	11
5	Vizela	6	3	2	1	7	4	11
6	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	7	5	10
7	UD Leiria	6	3	1	2	10	7	10
8	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	8	6	10
9	Academica	6	3	0	3	8	10	9
10	Tondela	6	3	0	3	7	6	9
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	4	6	7
12	AVS	6	1	3	2	6	6	6
13	Felgueiras 1932	6	1	3	2	5	6	6
14	SCU Torreense	6	1	3	2	7	9	6
15	Amarante	6	1	2	3	5	8	5
16	Chaves	6	1	1	4	5	13	4
17	FC Porto B	6	1	1	4	4	13	4
18	Feirense	6	0	1	5	1	8	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Leixoes	FC Porto B
Tondela	1-0 W	0-3 L
Benfica B	0-1 L	2-0 W
Lusitania Lourosa	2-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Leixoes (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leixoes

WLWWLWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	SCU Torreense Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
06/09	Amarante Portugal Segunda Liga	2-0	3-1	1	6	W
29/08	Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
22/08	UD Leiria Portugal Segunda Liga	1-2	2-4	8	6	L
16/08	Tondela Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
10/08	Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-1	8	8	L
17/05	Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	2-1	8	6	W
09/05	Chaves Portugal Segunda Liga	1-1	2-1	2	5	W
01/05	Maritimo Portugal Segunda Liga	1-2	2-3	1	8	L
25/04	Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	2-0	11	4	W

FC Porto B

LWWWLLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga	1-1	2-2	2	10	D
05/09	Tondela Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-3	3	7	L
30/08	Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga	0-2	0-3	5	7	L
24/08	Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
16/08	SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga	1-1	1-3	1	4	L
10/08	Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-2	5	8	L
15/05	Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	2-0	4	5	W
09/05	Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
04/05	Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	1-0	1	10	W
26/04	Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-3	2	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leixoes vs FC Porto B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Leixoes win (59%). Probabilities: Leixoes 59%, draw 23%, FC Porto B 18%.

How many goals are expected in Leixoes vs FC Porto B?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Leixoes 2.05 · FC Porto B 1.06), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Leixoes vs FC Porto B?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.