Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 11/10, 12:00
Prediction: Lusitania Lourosa vs Chaves
Team pages: Lusitania Lourosa · Chaves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Lusitania Lourosa2.04
Chaves0.78
1X2
Lusitania Lourosa
Draw
Chaves
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Lusitania Lourosa
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Chaves
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lusitania Lourosa
0–2–1
Chaves
(3 last)
- Chaves2-2Lusitania Lourosa
- Lusitania Lourosa2-2Chaves
- Chaves2-0Lusitania Lourosa
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lusitania Lourosa (rating 1569 vs 1436).
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lusitania Lourosa | Chaves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.7 | 1.9 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lusitania Lourosa 0–2–1 Chaves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 Portugal Segunda Liga | Chaves | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Lusitania Lourosa |
| 16/08/25 Portugal Segunda Liga | Lusitania Lourosa | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Chaves |
| 20/10/24 Portugal Cup | Chaves | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Lusitania Lourosa |
Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitania Lourosa | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 2 | Penafiel | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Sporting B | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | SC Farense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Vizela | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | UD Leiria | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Leixoes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | Academica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 10 | Tondela | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | AVS | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Felgueiras 1932 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 14 | SCU Torreense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| 15 | Amarante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 16 | Chaves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
| 18 | Feirense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lusitania Lourosa | Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting B | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| AVS | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Academica | 2-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Leixoes | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| UD Oliveirense | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Lusitania Lourosa (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lusitania Lourosa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 07/09 | AVS Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Academica Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 22/08 | SCU Torreense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | Amarante Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | FC Porto B Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 17/05 | Leixoes Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | SCU Torreense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | UD Oliveirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Pacos Ferreira Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
Chaves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | AVS Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 15/08 | Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Academica Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Maritimo Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Leixoes Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 27/04 | UD Oliveirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lusitania Lourosa vs Chaves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lusitania Lourosa win (66%). Probabilities: Lusitania Lourosa 66%, draw 22%, Chaves 12%.
How many goals are expected in Lusitania Lourosa vs Chaves?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Lusitania Lourosa 2.04 · Chaves 0.78), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lusitania Lourosa vs Chaves?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.