Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 11/10, 10:30

Prediction: MSK Zilina B vs Slovan Galanta

Team pages: MSK Zilina B · Slovan Galanta

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

MSK Zilina B1.72

Slovan Galanta1.1

1X2

51% 25% 23%

MSK Zilina B Draw Slovan Galanta

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

MSK Zilina B 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Slovan Galanta 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MSK Zilina B 1550 · Slovan Galanta 1517

	MSK Zilina B	Draw	Slovan Galanta
Our model	51%	26%	23%
Market	51%	25%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MSK Zilina B	Slovan Galanta
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.8	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.4	1.6 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	5.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.60

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:26 +9’	1.75	3.60	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	11	9	1	1	21	7	28
2	STK Samorin	11	9	0	2	22	12	27
3	MSK Povazska Bystrica	11	7	1	3	23	19	22
4	MSK Zilina B	11	6	2	3	14	10	20
5	FK Pohronie	11	6	1	4	18	15	19
6	FC Tatran Presov	11	5	2	4	15	16	17
7	Inter Bratislava	11	4	4	3	22	13	16
8	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	11	4	4	3	17	12	16
9	Slovan Galanta	11	5	1	5	15	17	16
10	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	11	3	4	4	12	11	13
11	OFK Banik Lehota	11	3	4	4	17	19	13
12	Slovan Bratislava B	11	3	3	5	16	16	12
13	OFK Malzenice	11	3	2	6	14	16	11
14	FK Humenne	11	2	2	7	6	15	8
15	MFK Bytca	11	2	0	9	9	30	6
16	MFK Zvolen	11	0	3	8	7	20	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MSK Zilina B	Slovan Galanta
MSK Povazska Bystrica	4-2 W	2-3 L
OFK Banik Lehota	0-1 L	4-1 W
Slovan Bratislava B	2-0 W	2-1 W
STK Samorin	1-2 L	2-3 L
OFK Malzenice	2-1 W	1-0 W
FC Vion Zlate Moravce	0-0 D	1-0 W
FK Pohronie	2-1 W	2-0 W
Inter Bratislava	1-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MSK Zilina B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	1	W
28/09	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
20/09	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	3-2	4-2	4	1	W
12/09	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
07/09	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	2-0	2	0	W
29/08	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
23/08	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	9	6	W
15/08	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
09/08	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
03/08	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	4	W

Slovan Galanta

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	2-3	4	6	L
26/09	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	3-0	4-1	1	3	W
20/09	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	9	3	W
12/09	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	2-2	2-3	3	8	L
05/09	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
29/08	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	10	W
22/08	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	5	7	W
15/08	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-3	4	6	L
08/08	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
31/07	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MSK Zilina B vs Slovan Galanta?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MSK Zilina B win (51%). Probabilities: MSK Zilina B 51%, draw 25%, Slovan Galanta 23%.

How many goals are expected in MSK Zilina B vs Slovan Galanta?

The model expects 2.81 goals (MSK Zilina B 1.72 · Slovan Galanta 1.1), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MSK Zilina B vs Slovan Galanta?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.