Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 12/10, 17:00

Prediction: FC Vion Zlate Moravce vs FK Pohronie

Team pages: FC Vion Zlate Moravce · FK Pohronie

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

FC Vion Zlate Moravce1.62

FK Pohronie0.97

1X2

52% 26% 22%

FC Vion Zlate Moravce Draw FK Pohronie

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Vion Zlate Moravce 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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FK Pohronie 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Vion Zlate Moravce 2–4 FK Pohronie (6 last)

FC Vion Zlate Moravce0-1FK Pohronie
FK Pohronie3-1FC Vion Zlate Moravce
FC Vion Zlate Moravce1-0FK Pohronie
FK Pohronie2-0FC Vion Zlate Moravce
FC Vion Zlate Moravce3-0FK Pohronie
FC Vion Zlate Moravce1-3FK Pohronie

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Vion Zlate Moravce 1487 · FK Pohronie 1572

	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	Draw	FK Pohronie
Our model	51%	27%	22%
Market	53%	24%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Pohronie (rating 1487 vs 1572).
H2H favours FK Pohronie: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	FK Pohronie
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 5.8	1.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.70

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:06 +31’	1.70	3.70	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Vion Zlate Moravce 2–0–4 FK Pohronie

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Pohronie
10/10/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Pohronie	3-1 HT 2-1	FC Vion Zlate Moravce
11/04/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Pohronie
20/09/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Pohronie	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Vion Zlate Moravce
22/07/23 Europe Friendlies	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	3-0 HT 2-0	FK Pohronie
14/05/22 Slovakia Super Liga	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	1-3 HT 1-1	FK Pohronie

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	11	9	1	1	21	7	28
2	STK Samorin	11	9	0	2	22	12	27
3	MSK Povazska Bystrica	11	7	1	3	23	19	22
4	MSK Zilina B	11	6	2	3	14	10	20
5	FK Pohronie	11	6	1	4	18	15	19
6	FC Tatran Presov	11	5	2	4	15	16	17
7	Inter Bratislava	11	4	4	3	22	13	16
8	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	11	4	4	3	17	12	16
9	Slovan Galanta	11	5	1	5	15	17	16
10	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	11	3	4	4	12	11	13
11	OFK Banik Lehota	11	3	4	4	17	19	13
12	Slovan Bratislava B	11	3	3	5	16	16	12
13	OFK Malzenice	11	3	2	6	14	16	11
14	FK Humenne	11	2	2	7	6	15	8
15	MFK Bytca	11	2	0	9	9	30	6
16	MFK Zvolen	11	0	3	8	7	20	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	FK Pohronie
Inter Bratislava	2-2 D	0-3 L
FC Petrzalka	0-2 L	0-1 L
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	0-0 D	2-0 W
MFK Zvolen	4-0 W	2-1 W
FC Tatran Presov	1-0 W	3-1 W
Slovan Galanta	0-1 L	0-2 L
MFK Bytca	1-2 L	3-1 W
MSK Zilina B	0-0 D	1-2 L
MSK Povazska Bystrica	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 4 L	5 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Pohronie (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Vion Zlate Moravce

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
26/09	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
18/09	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
14/09	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	4-0	2	2	W
05/09	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
29/08	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	10	L
22/08	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	1-2	12	9	L
15/08	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	10	3	D
10/08	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	6	1	L
01/08	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-2	3	6	D

FK Pohronie

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
25/09	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	0-3	0-3	6	5	L
21/09	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	1	6	L
11/09	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	1	4	W
05/09	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	4	7	W
28/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	3-1	6	3	W
22/08	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	2	7	L
14/08	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	3-1	3-1	6	5	W
09/08	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	8	1	L
31/07	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Vion Zlate Moravce vs FK Pohronie?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Vion Zlate Moravce win (52%). Probabilities: FC Vion Zlate Moravce 52%, draw 26%, FK Pohronie 22%.

How many goals are expected in FC Vion Zlate Moravce vs FK Pohronie?

The model expects 2.6 goals (FC Vion Zlate Moravce 1.62 · FK Pohronie 0.97), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Vion Zlate Moravce vs FK Pohronie?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.