Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 11/10, 15:00
Prediction: STK Samorin vs FC Petrzalka
Team pages: STK Samorin · FC Petrzalka
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
STK Samorin1.48
FC Petrzalka1.33
1X2
STK Samorin
Draw
FC Petrzalka
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
STK Samorin
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
FC Petrzalka
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
STK Samorin
1–3–2
FC Petrzalka
(6 last)
- FC Petrzalka3-0STK Samorin
- STK Samorin1-1FC Petrzalka
- FC Petrzalka1-2STK Samorin
- STK Samorin1-2FC Petrzalka
- STK Samorin1-1FC Petrzalka
- FC Petrzalka0-0STK Samorin
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · STK Samorin 1585 · FC Petrzalka 1608
| STK Samorin | Draw | FC Petrzalka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Market | 40% | 27% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Petrzalka: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| STK Samorin | FC Petrzalka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.2 | 1.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 6.2 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.3 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · STK Samorin 1–3–2 FC Petrzalka
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Slovakia 2. Liga | FC Petrzalka | 3-0 HT 2-0 | STK Samorin |
| 30/08/25 Slovakia 2. Liga | STK Samorin | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Petrzalka |
| 27/04/25 Slovakia 2. Liga | FC Petrzalka | 1-2 HT 1-0 | STK Samorin |
| 06/10/24 Slovakia 2. Liga | STK Samorin | 1-2 HT 0-2 | FC Petrzalka |
| 26/06/24 Europe Friendlies | STK Samorin | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FC Petrzalka |
| 10/03/24 Slovakia 2. Liga | FC Petrzalka | 0-0 HT 0-0 | STK Samorin |
Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Petrzalka | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 28 |
| 2 | STK Samorin | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | MSK Povazska Bystrica | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 22 |
| 4 | MSK Zilina B | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 | FK Pohronie | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 19 |
| 6 | FC Tatran Presov | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
| 7 | Inter Bratislava | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 16 |
| 8 | FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 16 |
| 9 | Slovan Galanta | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 16 |
| 10 | FC Vion Zlate Moravce | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 13 |
| 11 | OFK Banik Lehota | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 13 |
| 12 | Slovan Bratislava B | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 12 |
| 13 | OFK Malzenice | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 11 |
| 14 | FK Humenne | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 8 |
| 15 | MFK Bytca | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 6 |
| 16 | MFK Zvolen | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | STK Samorin | FC Petrzalka |
|---|---|---|
| FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| MFK Zvolen | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| FC Tatran Presov | 1-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Slovan Galanta | 3-2 W | 3-0 W |
| MFK Bytca | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| FK Humenne | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 6 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Petrzalka (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
STK Samorin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 26/09 | MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 05/09 | MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
FC Petrzalka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 26/09 | FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 21/09 | FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 16/08 | FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga |
2-0 | 4-2 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in STK Samorin vs FC Petrzalka?
According to our model, the most likely result is a STK Samorin win (40%). Probabilities: STK Samorin 40%, draw 27%, FC Petrzalka 33%.
How many goals are expected in STK Samorin vs FC Petrzalka?
The model expects 2.81 goals (STK Samorin 1.48 · FC Petrzalka 1.33), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in STK Samorin vs FC Petrzalka?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.