Football · Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League · 13/09, 12:00
Prediction: Bangor Celtic FC vs St Mochtas
Team pages: Bangor Celtic FC · St Mochtas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.11Total
Bangor Celtic FC1.96
St Mochtas2.15
1X2
Bangor Celtic FC
Draw
St Mochtas
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Bangor Celtic FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
St Mochtas
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bangor Celtic FC
2–2–2
St Mochtas
(6 last)
- Bangor Celtic FC5-6St Mochtas
- St Mochtas1-1Bangor Celtic FC
- Bangor Celtic FC3-2St Mochtas
- St Mochtas4-0Bangor Celtic FC
- St Mochtas0-2Bangor Celtic FC
- Bangor Celtic FC0-0St Mochtas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bangor Celtic FC 1495 · St Mochtas 1549
| Bangor Celtic FC | Draw | St Mochtas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 22% | 43% |
| Market | 34% | 24% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.11 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours St Mochtas (rating 1495 vs 1549).
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bangor Celtic FC | St Mochtas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.2 / 3 | 2.4 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.5 | 1.6 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bangor Celtic FC 2–2–2 St Mochtas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/26 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Bangor Celtic FC | 5-6 HT 4-2 | St Mochtas |
| 25/09/25 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | St Mochtas | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Bangor Celtic FC |
| 04/05/25 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Bangor Celtic FC | 3-2 HT 3-0 | St Mochtas |
| 13/03/25 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | St Mochtas | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Bangor Celtic FC |
| 29/05/24 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | St Mochtas | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Bangor Celtic FC |
| 03/09/23 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Bangor Celtic FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | St Mochtas |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bangor Celtic FC | St Mochtas |
|---|---|---|
| Tolka Rovers | 3-3 D | 1-0 W |
| Finglas United | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Killester Donnycarney FC | 1-5 L | 4-0 W |
| Usher Celtic | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Malahide Utd | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Kilbarrack Utd | 3-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: St Mochtas (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bangor Celtic FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Tolka Rovers Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Finglas United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/06 | Finglas United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Killester Donnycarney FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 1-5 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/05 | St Mochtas Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
4-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Ballymun United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-0 | 8-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | Usher Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | UCD II Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Malahide Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | Kilbarrack Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
St Mochtas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Lucan United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/08 | Kilbarrack Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | Malahide Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 07/06 | Kilbarrack Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 03/06 | Finglas United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 29/05 | Killester Donnycarney FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 26/05 | Bangor Celtic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-4 | 6-5 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/05 | Tolka Rovers Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Usher Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Malahide Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bangor Celtic FC vs St Mochtas?
According to our model, the most likely result is an St Mochtas win (42%). Probabilities: Bangor Celtic FC 35%, draw 23%, St Mochtas 42%.
How many goals are expected in Bangor Celtic FC vs St Mochtas?
The model expects 4.11 goals (Bangor Celtic FC 1.96 · St Mochtas 2.15), with a 58% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Bangor Celtic FC vs St Mochtas?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.