Football · Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League · 13/09, 12:00
Prediction: Lucan United vs Kilbarrack Utd
Team pages: Lucan United · Kilbarrack Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.4Total
Lucan United1.4
Kilbarrack Utd2
1X2
Lucan United
Draw
Kilbarrack Utd
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Lucan United
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Kilbarrack Utd
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lucan United
2–1–3
Kilbarrack Utd
(6 last)
- Lucan United0-3Kilbarrack Utd
- Kilbarrack Utd2-0Lucan United
- Lucan United3-1Kilbarrack Utd
- Kilbarrack Utd2-0Lucan United
- Kilbarrack Utd0-2Lucan United
- Lucan United2-2Kilbarrack Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucan United 1432 · Kilbarrack Utd 1541
| Lucan United | Draw | Kilbarrack Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 24% | 51% |
| Market | 26% | 22% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kilbarrack Utd (rating 1432 vs 1541).
- H2H favours Kilbarrack Utd: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lucan United | Kilbarrack Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.4 | 1.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.7 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/0/78% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 2.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.7 | 3.2 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucan United 2–1–3 Kilbarrack Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/26 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Lucan United | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Kilbarrack Utd |
| 06/03/26 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Kilbarrack Utd | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Lucan United |
| 22/11/24 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Lucan United | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Kilbarrack Utd |
| 16/08/24 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Kilbarrack Utd | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Lucan United |
| 13/03/24 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Kilbarrack Utd | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Lucan United |
| 27/08/23 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Lucan United | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Kilbarrack Utd |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lucan United | Kilbarrack Utd |
|---|---|---|
| St Francis FC | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| St Mochtas | 1-3 L | 3-3 D |
| Wayside Celtic | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Kilbarrack Utd (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucan United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | St Francis FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | St Mochtas Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/08 | Malahide Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/08 | Inchicore Athletic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/08 | Killester Donnycarney FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Wayside Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/06 | Tolka Rovers Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | St Francis FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 28/05 | Kilbarrack Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 21/05 | Usher Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
4-1 | 6-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
Kilbarrack Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Montpelier FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 01/09 | St Francis FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/08 | St Mochtas Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 21/08 | Crumlin United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 18/08 | Glebe North FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 07/06 | St Mochtas Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/06 | Wayside Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 28/05 | Lucan United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 19/05 | Wayside Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | Finglas United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucan United vs Kilbarrack Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kilbarrack Utd win (51%). Probabilities: Lucan United 26%, draw 23%, Kilbarrack Utd 51%.
How many goals are expected in Lucan United vs Kilbarrack Utd?
The model expects 3.4 goals (Lucan United 1.4 · Kilbarrack Utd 2), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lucan United vs Kilbarrack Utd?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.