Football · Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League · 13/09, 13:00
Prediction: Killester Donnycarney FC vs St Francis FC
Team pages: Killester Donnycarney FC · St Francis FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.44Total
Killester Donnycarney FC2.2
St Francis FC1.24
1X2
Killester Donnycarney FC
Draw
St Francis FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Killester Donnycarney FC
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
St Francis FC
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Killester Donnycarney FC
2–1–2
St Francis FC
(5 last)
- St Francis FC3-2Killester Donnycarney FC
- Killester Donnycarney FC6-0St Francis FC
- St Francis FC0-3Killester Donnycarney FC
- St Francis FC3-1Killester Donnycarney FC
- Killester Donnycarney FC0-0St Francis FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Killester Donnycarney FC 1522 · St Francis FC 1462
| Killester Donnycarney FC | Draw | St Francis FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 22% | 20% |
| Market | 59% | 21% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Killester Donnycarney FC (rating 1522 vs 1462).
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Killester Donnycarney FC | St Francis FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/0/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.7 | 2.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.6 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Killester Donnycarney FC 2–1–2 St Francis FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/26 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | St Francis FC | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Killester Donnycarney FC |
| 27/04/25 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Killester Donnycarney FC | 6-0 HT 3-0 | St Francis FC |
| 23/10/24 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | St Francis FC | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Killester Donnycarney FC |
| 10/04/24 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | St Francis FC | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Killester Donnycarney FC |
| 25/02/24 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Killester Donnycarney FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | St Francis FC |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Killester Donnycarney FC | St Francis FC |
|---|---|---|
| Crumlin United | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Wayside Celtic | 4-3 W | 1-6 L |
| Lucan United | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| St Mochtas | 0-4 L | 1-5 L |
| Inchicore Athletic FC | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Killester Donnycarney FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Killester Donnycarney FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Crumlin United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 01/09 | Tolka Rovers Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 26/08 | Finglas United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Wayside Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 19/08 | Lucan United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Bangor Celtic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 5-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 29/05 | St Mochtas Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | UCD II Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 12/05 | Inchicore Athletic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Lucan United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
St Francis FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Lucan United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 01/09 | Kilbarrack Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/08 | Crumlin United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Lucan United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-2 | 4-2 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Ballymun United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Usher Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 08/05 | Inchicore Athletic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Malahide Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/04 | St Mochtas Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/04 | Wayside Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-2 | 1-6 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Killester Donnycarney FC vs St Francis FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Killester Donnycarney FC win (59%). Probabilities: Killester Donnycarney FC 59%, draw 22%, St Francis FC 20%.
How many goals are expected in Killester Donnycarney FC vs St Francis FC?
The model expects 3.44 goals (Killester Donnycarney FC 2.2 · St Francis FC 1.24), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Killester Donnycarney FC vs St Francis FC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.