Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 02/10, 20:00
Prediction: Vikingur Reykjavik (W) vs Thor/KA Akureyri (W)
Team pages: Vikingur Reykjavik (W) · Thor/KA Akureyri (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)1.74
Thor/KA Akureyri (W)1.39
1X2
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Draw
Thor/KA Akureyri (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Thor/KA Akureyri (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
3–3
Thor/KA Akureyri (W)
(6 last)
- Vikingur Reykjavik (W)0-3Thor/KA Akureyri (W)
- Thor/KA Akureyri (W)4-6Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
- Thor/KA Akureyri (W)4-1Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
- Vikingur Reykjavik (W)1-4Thor/KA Akureyri (W)
- Thor/KA Akureyri (W)0-1Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
- Thor/KA Akureyri (W)0-2Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 1512 · Thor/KA Akureyri (W) 1483
| Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | Draw | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 25% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.9 | 1.9 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 3–0–3 Thor/KA Akureyri (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) |
| 30/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 4-6 HT 0-4 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
| 21/06/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
| 16/04/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) |
| 05/10/24 Iceland Premier League Women | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
| 19/07/24 Iceland Premier League Women | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women · Besta deild, Women 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 46 | 26 |
| 2 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 30 | 22 |
| 3 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 41 | 22 |
| 4 | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 33 | 21 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Valur Reykjavik (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Stjarnan (W) | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Breidablik (W) | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Vikingur Reykjavik (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 18/09 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 07/09 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 14/08 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 28/07 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 19/07 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 15/07 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
Thor/KA Akureyri (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/08 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 19/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 14/07 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vikingur Reykjavik (W) vs Thor/KA Akureyri (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vikingur Reykjavik (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 45%, draw 25%, Thor/KA Akureyri (W) 30%.
How many goals are expected in Vikingur Reykjavik (W) vs Thor/KA Akureyri (W)?
The model expects 3.12 goals (Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 1.74 · Thor/KA Akureyri (W) 1.39), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Vikingur Reykjavik (W) vs Thor/KA Akureyri (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.