Football · England Northern Premier League · 22/09, 20:45

Prediction: Leek Town vs Hyde Utd

Team pages: Leek Town · Hyde Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

Leek Town1.81

Hyde Utd1.53

1X2

43% 26% 31%

Leek Town Draw Hyde Utd

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Leek Town 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLDDLWDLLL

Hyde Utd 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLLDWL

Head-to-head

Leek Town 1–3–0 Hyde Utd (4 last)

Leek Town2-2Hyde Utd
Hyde Utd1-2Leek Town
Leek Town1-1Hyde Utd
Hyde Utd0-0Leek Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leek Town 1487 · Hyde Utd 1472

	Leek Town	Draw	Hyde Utd
Our model	44%	25%	32%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Leek Town	Hyde Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.9	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/43/14%	25/38/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.9	1.4 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.1	2.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.40

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 17:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.10▲	Pinn 2.12
X	3.50 → 3.40▼	Pinn 3.58 ★
2	2.88 → 2.90▲	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:19 +22’	2.05	3.50	2.88
16:00 +4’	2.10▲	3.50	2.80▼
16:57 +6’	2.10	3.40▼	2.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:19 +47’	2.13	3.57	2.82
23:35 +28’	2.12▼	3.58▲	2.82

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Leek Town 1–3–0 Hyde Utd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/01/26 England Northern Premier League	Leek Town	2-2 HT 1-1	Hyde Utd
09/09/25 England Northern Premier League	Hyde Utd	1-2 HT 0-1	Leek Town
07/12/24 England Northern Premier League	Leek Town	1-1 HT 1-0	Hyde Utd
10/09/24 England Northern Premier League	Hyde Utd	0-0 HT 0-0	Leek Town

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cleethorpes Town	9	7	1	1	24	5	22
2	Avro FC	9	7	1	1	28	16	22
3	Redcar Athletic	9	6	3	0	18	6	21
4	Guiseley	9	6	1	2	22	10	19
5	Warrington Town	9	5	2	2	18	14	17
6	Bury	9	5	1	3	19	8	16
7	Curzon Ashton	9	5	1	3	18	10	16
8	Workington	9	5	1	3	17	15	16
9	Gainsborough	9	4	1	4	14	12	13
10	Warrington Rylands	9	4	1	4	12	13	13
11	Alfreton Town	9	4	0	5	15	10	12
12	Whitby	9	4	0	5	14	24	12
13	Ashton Utd	9	3	2	4	10	9	11
14	Hyde Utd	9	3	2	4	10	17	11
15	Emley AFC	9	2	4	3	8	15	10
16	Lancaster City	9	3	1	5	9	17	10
17	Bamber Bridge	10	2	3	5	14	27	9
18	Stockton Town	10	2	2	6	13	20	8
19	Ilkeston	9	2	1	6	6	21	7
20	Leek Town	9	1	3	5	17	19	6
21	Quorn	9	1	3	5	12	23	6
22	FC United of Manchester	9	1	2	6	12	19	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Leek Town	Hyde Utd
Warrington Town	1-2 L	0-3 L
Avro FC	4-4 D	0-1 L
Bamber Bridge	4-1 W	4-4 D
Emley AFC	1-2 L	0-0 D
FC United of Manchester	1-1 D	1-0 W
Whitby	1-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Leek Town (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leek Town

WLDDLWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League	2-1	2-3	0	5	L
01/09	Warrington Town England Northern Premier League	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
29/08	Workington England Northern Premier League	0-1	2-3	3	2	L
26/08	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	2-2	4-4	3	0	D
22/08	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	–	4-1	–	–	W
18/08	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	1-1	1-2	2	0	L
15/08	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
08/08	Whitby England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-2	3	1	L
25/04	Workington England Northern Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W

Hyde Utd

WDLWWLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Whitby England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-3	6	1	L
31/08	Bury England Northern Premier League	1-1	2-1	1	3	W
29/08	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	2-2	4-4	4	6	D
25/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-2	0-4	6	5	L
22/08	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
18/08	FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
15/08	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/08	Warrington Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-3	1	0	L
08/08	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	–	0-0	–	–	D
25/04	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	3-0	3-1	1	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leek Town vs Hyde Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Leek Town win (43%). Probabilities: Leek Town 43%, draw 26%, Hyde Utd 31%.

How many goals are expected in Leek Town vs Hyde Utd?

The model expects 3.34 goals (Leek Town 1.81 · Hyde Utd 1.53), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Leek Town vs Hyde Utd?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.