Football · Argentina Torneo A · 20/09, 20:00

Prediction: CA Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

Team pages: CA Douglas Haig · Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.93Total

CA Douglas Haig1.19

Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy0.75

1X2

46% 32% 23%

CA Douglas Haig Draw Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

CA Douglas Haig 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDLDWWLW

Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDDDLDWWWW

Head-to-head

CA Douglas Haig 2–1–2 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy (5 last)

Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy2-0CA Douglas Haig
CA Douglas Haig2-1Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy1-0CA Douglas Haig
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy1-3CA Douglas Haig
CA Douglas Haig0-0Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Douglas Haig 1516 · Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 1552

	CA Douglas Haig	Draw	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Our model	45%	33%	22%
Market	46%	31%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 1.93 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Douglas Haig	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1	0.9 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5	3.8 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.95

X2.90

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.75

Under 1.752.05

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:49 +9’	1.95	2.90	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Douglas Haig 2–1–2 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Argentina Torneo A	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy	2-0 HT 1-0	CA Douglas Haig
22/03/26 Argentina Torneo A	CA Douglas Haig	2-1 HT 1-0	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
27/07/25 Argentina Torneo A	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy	1-0 HT 1-0	CA Douglas Haig
24/05/25 Argentina Torneo A	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy	1-3 HT 0-2	CA Douglas Haig
23/03/25 Argentina Torneo A	CA Douglas Haig	0-0 HT 0-0	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	7	5	1	1	14	5	16
2	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy	7	4	2	1	6	2	14
3	Sol de America de Formosa	7	4	1	2	8	6	13
4	CA Douglas Haig	7	3	2	2	12	7	11
5	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	7	3	2	2	8	5	11
6	Defensores de Belgrano VR	7	3	1	3	4	3	10
7	CA Sarmiento de la Banda	7	1	2	4	6	12	5
8	Sportivo Belgrano	8	1	2	5	3	14	5
9	CA Bartolome Mitre	7	1	1	5	3	10	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Douglas Haig	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Sportivo Belgrano	4-0 W	0-0 D
Sol de America de Formosa	1-2 L	2-0 W
CA Bartolome Mitre	3-0 W	1-0 W
CA Sarmiento de la Banda	3-1 W	1-0 W
Defensores de Belgrano VR	0-0 D	1-0 W
San Martin Formosa	1-4 L	1-1 D
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CA Douglas Haig (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Douglas Haig

DLWDLDWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A	2-0	4-0	3	3	W
30/08	Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
23/08	CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A	2-0	3-0	5	0	W
16/08	CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A	0-0	3-1	9	6	W
12/08	Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
08/08	San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A	0-3	1-4	9	6	L
02/08	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	0	2	D
26/07	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
11/07	Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
05/07	Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	5	6	D

Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

WDDDLDWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-0	10	3	W
06/09	CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	9	4	W
30/08	CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	7	6	W
23/08	Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
16/08	San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-1	10	8	D
13/08	CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
01/08	Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	9	8	D
25/07	Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A	0-0	2-2	4	2	D
12/07	Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
05/07	Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	8	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Douglas Haig win (46%). Probabilities: CA Douglas Haig 46%, draw 32%, Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 23%.

How many goals are expected in CA Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy?

The model expects 1.93 goals (CA Douglas Haig 1.19 · Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 0.75), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.