Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 12/09, 20:00

Prediction: Fenix vs Centro Espanol

Team pages: Fenix · Centro Espanol

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.99Total

Fenix0.73

Centro Espanol1.26

1X2

21% 31% 48%

Fenix Draw Centro Espanol

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-1 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Fenix 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDDWDDLL

Centro Espanol 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDLLDWDWDD

Head-to-head

Fenix 0–1 Centro Espanol (1 last)

Centro Espanol1-0Fenix

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fenix 1504 · Centro Espanol 1497

	Fenix	Draw	Centro Espanol
Our model	20%	32%	48%
Market	21%	30%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 1.99 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fenix	Centro Espanol
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.9	0.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.5	2.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	6.3 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

14.20

X3.00

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:46 +10’	4.20	3.00	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fenix 0–0–1 Centro Espanol

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Centro Espanol	1-0 HT 1-0	Fenix

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	27	14	7	6	39	22	49
2	Canuelas FC	27	13	9	5	32	20	48
3	Leones de Rosario	27	11	10	6	26	22	43
4	Deportivo Espanol	27	9	14	4	20	14	41
5	Central Cordoba de Rosario	27	10	9	8	26	21	39
6	Sportivo Barracas	27	11	5	11	31	26	38
7	General Lamadrid	27	9	10	8	22	25	37
8	CA Atlas	27	9	9	9	22	22	36
9	Central Ballester	27	9	7	11	26	27	34
10	Yupanqui	27	8	9	10	31	31	33
11	El Porvenir	27	6	15	6	22	25	33
12	Fenix	27	6	9	12	19	27	27
13	CA Claypole	27	6	8	13	19	35	26
14	Deportivo Muniz	27	4	10	13	17	32	22

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fenix	Centro Espanol
Central Cordoba de Rosario	0-1 L	2-2 D
Berazategui	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Centro Espanol (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fenix

LWWDDWDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
31/08	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
24/08	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
16/08	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
10/08	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-1	3	2	W
04/08	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
27/07	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
17/07	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	0	3	W
13/07	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	7	6	W
05/07	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	3	6	L

Centro Espanol

LDLLDWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	2	10	D
30/08	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
24/08	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	0	6	W
17/08	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
08/08	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
04/08	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
31/07	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	9	L
25/07	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	9	6	L
12/07	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
06/07	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-3	8	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fenix vs Centro Espanol?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Centro Espanol win (48%). Probabilities: Fenix 21%, draw 31%, Centro Espanol 48%.

How many goals are expected in Fenix vs Centro Espanol?

The model expects 1.99 goals (Fenix 0.73 · Centro Espanol 1.26), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Fenix vs Centro Espanol?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.