Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 12/09, 20:00

Prediction: CA Claypole vs Sacachispas

Team pages: CA Claypole · Sacachispas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2Total

CA Claypole0.8

Sacachispas1.2

1X2

24% 32% 45%

CA Claypole Draw Sacachispas

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CA Claypole 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLWDLL

Sacachispas 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWDLWD

Head-to-head

CA Claypole 0–1 Sacachispas (1 last)

Sacachispas3-0CA Claypole

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Claypole 1426 · Sacachispas 1546

	CA Claypole	Draw	Sacachispas
Our model	23%	33%	44%
Market	24%	31%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sacachispas (rating 1426 vs 1546).
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 12.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Claypole	Sacachispas
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.5	1.1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.5	3.1 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.4	7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.75

X2.88

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.05

2 (-0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.80

Under 1.752.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
02:43 +13’	3.75	2.88	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Claypole 0–0–1 Sacachispas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Sacachispas	3-0 HT 1-0	CA Claypole

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	27	14	7	6	39	22	49
2	Canuelas FC	27	13	9	5	32	20	48
3	Leones de Rosario	27	11	10	6	26	22	43
4	Deportivo Espanol	27	9	14	4	20	14	41
5	Central Cordoba de Rosario	27	10	9	8	26	21	39
6	Sportivo Barracas	27	11	5	11	31	26	38
7	General Lamadrid	27	9	10	8	22	25	37
8	CA Atlas	27	9	9	9	22	22	36
9	Central Ballester	27	9	7	11	26	27	34
10	Yupanqui	27	8	9	10	31	31	33
11	El Porvenir	27	6	15	6	22	25	33
12	Fenix	27	6	9	12	19	27	27
13	CA Claypole	27	6	8	13	19	35	26
14	Deportivo Muniz	27	4	10	13	17	32	22

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Claypole	Sacachispas
Club Mercedes	1-0 W	0-2 L
Juventud Unida San Miguel	0-2 L	1-0 W
CA Atlas	1-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sacachispas (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Claypole

LDDLLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/09	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
29/08	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	2-4	4	6	L
24/08	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
18/08	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	4	8	W
10/08	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	3	10	L
04/08	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	7	10	L
31/07	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	1-3	2	6	L
26/07	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
13/07	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
05/07	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	7	6	L

Sacachispas

WWDLWWDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	4	10	D
31/08	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-1	8	8	W
22/08	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
17/08	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
10/08	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	8	4	W
04/08	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	3	9	W
31/07	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	5	10	L
27/07	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	8	8	D
11/07	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
05/07	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	12	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Claypole vs Sacachispas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sacachispas win (45%). Probabilities: CA Claypole 24%, draw 32%, Sacachispas 45%.

How many goals are expected in CA Claypole vs Sacachispas?

The model expects 2 goals (CA Claypole 0.8 · Sacachispas 1.2), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Claypole vs Sacachispas?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.