Football · Iceland Premier League · 20/09, 18:00
Prediction: IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Reykjavik
Team pages: IBV Vestmannaeyjar · Valur Reykjavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.37Total
IBV Vestmannaeyjar1.68
Valur Reykjavik1.69
1X2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Draw
Valur Reykjavik
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Valur Reykjavik
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2–4
Valur Reykjavik
(6 last)
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar1-0Valur Reykjavik
- Valur Reykjavik2-1IBV Vestmannaeyjar
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar4-1Valur Reykjavik
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar0-1Valur Reykjavik
- Valur Reykjavik3-0IBV Vestmannaeyjar
- Valur Reykjavik7-1IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valur Reykjavik (rating 1420 vs 1477).
- H2H favours Valur Reykjavik: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Valur Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.1 | 1.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.6 | 2.8 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2–0–4 Valur Reykjavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/26 Iceland Premier League | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Valur Reykjavik |
| 17/04/26 Iceland Premier League | Valur Reykjavik | 2-1 HT 1-1 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
| 17/08/25 Iceland Premier League | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Valur Reykjavik |
| 19/06/25 Iceland Cup | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Valur Reykjavik |
| 24/05/25 Iceland Premier League | Valur Reykjavik | 3-0 HT 3-0 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
| 10/02/24 Iceland League Cup | Valur Reykjavik | 7-1 HT 3-1 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
Standings · Iceland Premier League · Besta deild 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stjarnan | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 44 | 50 | 31 |
| 2 | Valur Reykjavik | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 46 | 30 |
| 3 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 39 | 24 |
| 4 | Thor Akureyri | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 23 | 54 | 21 |
| 5 | KA Akureyri | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 51 | 20 |
| 6 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 47 | 18 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Valur Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| Stjarnan | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Thor Akureyri | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Keflavik | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| IA Akranes | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Fram Reykjavik | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Breidablik | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| KA Akureyri | 2-2 D | 4-4 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 6 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Valur Reykjavik (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 27/07 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/07 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 12/07 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
Valur Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 14 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 09/08 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Reykjavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Valur Reykjavik win (38%). Probabilities: IBV Vestmannaeyjar 37%, draw 25%, Valur Reykjavik 38%.
How many goals are expected in IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Reykjavik?
The model expects 3.37 goals (IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1.68 · Valur Reykjavik 1.69), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Reykjavik?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.