Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 10/09, 14:00

Prediction: FC Merani Tbilisi vs Kolkheti

Team pages: FC Merani Tbilisi · Kolkheti

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.46Total
FC Merani Tbilisi2.14
Kolkheti1.32
1X2
55% 22% 22%
FC Merani Tbilisi Draw Kolkheti
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Merani Tbilisi 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LDWLWDDLWW
Kolkheti 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LWLDLLLWLD
Head-to-head
FC Merani Tbilisi 1–1–3 Kolkheti (5 last)
  • FC Merani Tbilisi3-1Kolkheti
  • FC Merani Tbilisi1-1Kolkheti
  • Kolkheti2-0FC Merani Tbilisi
  • FC Merani Tbilisi0-5Kolkheti
  • Kolkheti2-0FC Merani Tbilisi
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Merani Tbilisi 1515 · Kolkheti 1428
FC Merani TbilisiDrawKolkheti
Our model55%22%22%
Market55%22%22%
Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Merani Tbilisi (rating 1515 vs 1428).
  • H2H favours Kolkheti: 3-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Merani TbilisiKolkheti
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.31.3 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.7 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.71.2 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.21.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Merani Tbilisi 113 Kolkheti

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/10/25
Georgia Liga 3
FC Merani Tbilisi3-1
HT 1-1
Kolkheti
27/10/23
Georgia First League
FC Merani Tbilisi1-1
HT 0-1
Kolkheti
18/08/23
Georgia First League
Kolkheti2-0
HT 1-0
FC Merani Tbilisi
15/05/23
Georgia First League
FC Merani Tbilisi0-5
HT 0-2
Kolkheti
18/03/23
Georgia First League
Kolkheti2-0
HT 1-0
FC Merani Tbilisi

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Merani TbilisiKolkheti
Guria Lanchkhuti 0-5 L 0-5 L
FC Didube 2014 2-2 D 1-1 D
FC Orbi 1-1 D 0-1 L
Wit Georgia 1-0 W 3-2 W
FC Tbilisi 2025 0-2 L 0-4 L
Dinamo Tbilisi II 1-0 W 2-3 L
FC Iberia 1999 II 0-1 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 3 L 1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FC Merani Tbilisi (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Merani Tbilisi

LDWLWDDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/09 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 2-0 23 W
27/08 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 4-1 45 W
13/08 Guria Lanchkhuti
Georgia Liga 3
0-3 0-5 14 L
06/08 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 2-2 37 D
21/06 FC Orbi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-1 76 D
14/06 Wit Georgia
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 42 W
28/05 FC Tbilisi 2025
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-2 L
21/05 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-0 22 W
14/05 FC Gonio
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-1 66 D
07/05 FC Iberia 1999 II
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-1 45 L

Kolkheti

LWLDLLLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/09 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 1-1 53 D
27/08 FC Orbi
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-1 02 L
20/08 Wit Georgia
Georgia Liga 3
2-2 3-2 22 W
13/08 FC Tbilisi 2025
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 0-4 31 L
06/08 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 2-3 13 L
15/06 FC Iberia 1999 II
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-3 03 L
02/06 Betlemi
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 2-2 61 D
28/05 Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-2 L
14/05 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 5-2 40 W
07/05 Guria Lanchkhuti
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 0-5 12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Merani Tbilisi vs Kolkheti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Merani Tbilisi win (55%). Probabilities: FC Merani Tbilisi 55%, draw 22%, Kolkheti 22%.

How many goals are expected in FC Merani Tbilisi vs Kolkheti?

The model expects 3.46 goals (FC Merani Tbilisi 2.14 · Kolkheti 1.32), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Merani Tbilisi vs Kolkheti?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.