Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 17/09, 11:00

Prediction: Lokomotiv Tbilisi vs FC Orbi

Team pages: Lokomotiv Tbilisi · FC Orbi

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Lokomotiv Tbilisi1.35
FC Orbi1.34
1X2
37% 26% 37%
Lokomotiv Tbilisi Draw FC Orbi
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Lokomotiv Tbilisi 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WWWDWDWDDL
FC Orbi 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DLWLLDWLWL
Head-to-head
Lokomotiv Tbilisi 0–1 FC Orbi (1 last)
  • FC Orbi2-1Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lokomotiv Tbilisi 1540 · FC Orbi 1481
Lokomotiv TbilisiDrawFC Orbi
Our model36%28%36%
Market38%25%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lokomotiv Tbilisi (rating 1540 vs 1481).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lokomotiv TbilisiFC Orbi
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.71.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.20.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.71.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.14 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lokomotiv Tbilisi 001 FC Orbi

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/04/26
Georgia Liga 3
FC Orbi2-1
HT 0-1
Lokomotiv Tbilisi

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLokomotiv TbilisiFC Orbi
Wit Georgia 1-2 L 1-0 W
FC Tbilisi 2025 3-3 D 0-1 L
Dinamo Tbilisi II 1-1 D 1-1 D
Guria Lanchkhuti 1-0 W 1-2 L
FC Iberia 2010 1-0 W 2-3 L
Kolkheti 2-0 W 1-0 W
FC Margveti 2006 1-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Lokomotiv Tbilisi (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lokomotiv Tbilisi

WWWDWDWDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/09 Wit Georgia
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 1-2 53 L
03/09 FC Tbilisi 2025
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 3-3 73 D
27/08 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-1 78 D
20/08 FC Gonio
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 4-0 100 W
13/08 FC Iberia 1999 II
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 1-1 25 D
06/08 Guria Lanchkhuti
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 00 W
21/06 Iveria Khashuri
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-0 113 D
15/06 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-0 41 W
28/05 Kolkheti
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-0 W
21/05 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 53 W

FC Orbi

DLWLLDWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/09 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
1-2 2-3 97 L
27/08 Kolkheti
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-0 62 W
20/08 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-2 48 L
13/08 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 3-0 32 W
21/06 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-1 16 D
15/06 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 1-3 35 L
28/05 Guria Lanchkhuti
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 1-2 L
21/05 Wit Georgia
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 62 W
14/05 FC Tbilisi 2025
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-1 51 L
08/05 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 1-1 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv Tbilisi vs FC Orbi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lokomotiv Tbilisi win (37%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv Tbilisi 37%, draw 26%, FC Orbi 37%.

How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv Tbilisi vs FC Orbi?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Lokomotiv Tbilisi 1.35 · FC Orbi 1.34), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Tbilisi vs FC Orbi?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.