Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 17/09, 17:00

Prediction: FC Gonio vs FC Tbilisi 2025

Team pages: FC Gonio · FC Tbilisi 2025

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
FC Gonio1.06
FC Tbilisi 20251.9
1X2
20% 23% 57%
FC Gonio Draw FC Tbilisi 2025
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Gonio 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LLDWWWWDLD
FC Tbilisi 2025 7-3-0 (W-D-L)
WWWWWDWDWD
Head-to-head
FC Gonio 1–1–0 FC Tbilisi 2025 (2 last)
  • FC Tbilisi 20251-1FC Gonio
  • FC Gonio4-0FC Tbilisi 2025
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Gonio 1521 · FC Tbilisi 2025 1594
FC GonioDrawFC Tbilisi 2025
Our model20%24%56%
Market21%22%57%
Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Tbilisi 2025 (rating 1521 vs 1594).
  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC GonioFC Tbilisi 2025
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.43.1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.42.8 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.13.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Gonio 110 FC Tbilisi 2025

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
24/04/26
Georgia Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 20251-1
HT 1-0
FC Gonio
15/06/24
Georgia Liga 3
FC Gonio4-0
HT 0-0
FC Tbilisi 2025

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC GonioFC Tbilisi 2025
Lokomotiv Tbilisi 0-4 L 3-3 D
Iveria Khashuri 1-1 D 5-0 W
FC Iberia 2010 2-0 W 0-0 D
FC Margveti 2006 4-0 W 1-1 D
Gardabani 6-0 W 3-1 W
Betlemi 3-0 W 7-1 W
FC Merani Tbilisi 1-1 D 2-0 W
FC Didube 2014 1-2 L 5-0 W
FC Orbi 0-4 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 3 L 6 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Tbilisi 2025 (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Gonio

LLDWWWWDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 FC Iberia 1999 II
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 2-2 75 D
20/08 Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 0-4 60 L
13/08 Iveria Khashuri
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 1-1 136 D
06/08 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-0 34 W
15/06 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 4-0 22 W
28/05 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 6-0 W
21/05 Betlemi
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 3-0 45 W
14/05 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-1 16 D
07/05 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-2 93 L
03/05 FC Orbi
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 0-4 44 L

FC Tbilisi 2025

WWWWWDWDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/09 Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 3-3 33 D
27/08 Iveria Khashuri
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 5-0 73 W
20/08 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-0 103 D
13/08 Kolkheti
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 4-0 51 W
06/08 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-1 37 D
21/06 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
2-1 3-1 60 W
15/06 Betlemi
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 7-1 72 W
28/05 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-0 W
21/05 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 5-0 510 W
14/05 FC Orbi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 41 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Gonio vs FC Tbilisi 2025?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Tbilisi 2025 win (57%). Probabilities: FC Gonio 20%, draw 23%, FC Tbilisi 2025 57%.

How many goals are expected in FC Gonio vs FC Tbilisi 2025?

The model expects 2.96 goals (FC Gonio 1.06 · FC Tbilisi 2025 1.9), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Gonio vs FC Tbilisi 2025?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.