Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 17/09, 14:00

Prediction: FC Margveti 2006 vs Gardabani

Team pages: FC Margveti 2006 · Gardabani

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.72Total
FC Margveti 20062.49
Gardabani1.23
1X2
64% 20% 16%
FC Margveti 2006 Draw Gardabani
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Margveti 2006 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LLWLWDDWLW
Gardabani 0-1-9 (W-D-L)
DLLLLLLLLL
Head-to-head
FC Margveti 2006 1–2 Gardabani (3 last)
  • Gardabani4-1FC Margveti 2006
  • FC Margveti 20062-1Gardabani
  • Gardabani5-1FC Margveti 2006
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Margveti 2006 1504 · Gardabani 1359
FC Margveti 2006DrawGardabani
Our model64%19%17%
Market64%20%16%
Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Margveti 2006 (rating 1504 vs 1359).
  • H2H favours Gardabani: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Margveti 2006Gardabani
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.20.5 / 3.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.60.3 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%0/20/80%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.11.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.22.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Margveti 2006 102 Gardabani

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/04/26
Georgia Liga 3
Gardabani4-1
HT 1-0
FC Margveti 2006
23/10/25
Georgia Liga 3
FC Margveti 20062-1
HT 2-0
Gardabani
23/05/25
Georgia Liga 3
Gardabani5-1
HT 2-1
FC Margveti 2006

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Margveti 2006Gardabani
FC Merani Tbilisi 0-2 L 1-4 L
FC Orbi 2-1 W 0-3 L
Wit Georgia 1-1 D 0-5 L
FC Tbilisi 2025 1-1 D 1-3 L
Dinamo Tbilisi II 2-0 W 1-4 L
FC Gonio 0-4 L 0-6 L
FC Iberia 1999 II 2-0 W 0-6 L
Lokomotiv Tbilisi 0-1 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 3 L 0 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: FC Margveti 2006 (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Margveti 2006

LLWLWDDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/09 Betlemi
Georgia Liga 3
4-0 5-0 73 W
03/09 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-2 43 L
20/08 FC Orbi
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 2-1 38 W
12/08 Wit Georgia
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 1-1 25 D
06/08 FC Tbilisi 2025
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 1-1 37 D
21/06 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 2-0 15 W
15/06 FC Gonio
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 0-4 42 L
28/05 FC Iberia 1999 II
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-0 W
21/05 Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-1 33 L
14/05 Iveria Khashuri
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-2 106 L

Gardabani

DLLLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/09 Guria Lanchkhuti
Georgia Liga 3
0-3 0-5 62 L
27/08 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 1-4 75 L
20/08 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 1-2 38 L
13/08 FC Orbi
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-3 62 L
06/08 Wit Georgia
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-5 33 L
21/06 FC Tbilisi 2025
Georgia Liga 3
1-2 1-3 10 L
15/06 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 1-4 63 L
28/05 FC Gonio
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-6 L
21/05 FC Iberia 1999 II
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 0-6 10 L
14/05 Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 1-1 81 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Margveti 2006 vs Gardabani?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Margveti 2006 win (64%). Probabilities: FC Margveti 2006 64%, draw 20%, Gardabani 16%.

How many goals are expected in FC Margveti 2006 vs Gardabani?

The model expects 3.72 goals (FC Margveti 2006 2.49 · Gardabani 1.23), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Margveti 2006 vs Gardabani?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.