Football · India Calcutta Football League · 11/09, 11:30
Prediction: Mohammedan SC Reserves vs Bhawanipore FC
Team pages: Mohammedan SC Reserves · Bhawanipore FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Mohammedan SC Reserves1.07
Bhawanipore FC1.49
1X2
Mohammedan SC Reserves
Draw
Bhawanipore FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Mohammedan SC Reserves
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Bhawanipore FC
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mohammedan SC Reserves
0–1
Bhawanipore FC
(1 last)
- Bhawanipore FC2-1Mohammedan SC Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mohammedan SC Reserves 1526 · Bhawanipore FC 1610
| Mohammedan SC Reserves | Draw | Bhawanipore FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 28% | 45% |
| Market | 28% | 26% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bhawanipore FC (rating 1526 vs 1610).
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mohammedan SC Reserves | Bhawanipore FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 2.1 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 67/33/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.1 | 2.9 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mohammedan SC Reserves 0–0–1 Bhawanipore FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/25 India Calcutta Football League | Bhawanipore FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Mohammedan SC Reserves |
Standings · India Calcutta Football League · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coal India | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Mohammedan SC Reserves | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Police AC | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Aryan FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | United SC | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Calcutta Police Club | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | Peerless SC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 11 |
| 8 | Measurers Club | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 11 |
| 9 | Suruchi Sangha | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
| 10 | Wari AC | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 7 |
| 11 | Rainbow AC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 7 |
| 12 | Kalighat Sports Lovers | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mohammedan SC Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Peerless SC India Calcutta Football League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Kalighat Sports Lovers India Calcutta Football League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 28/08 | Coal India India Calcutta Football League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 25/08 | Measurers Club India Calcutta Football League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | United SC India Calcutta Football League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 17/08 | Police AC India Calcutta Football League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Calcutta Police Club India Calcutta Football League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 05/08 | Police AC India Calcutta Football League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 30/07 | Suruchi Sangha India Calcutta Football League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 23/07 | Wari AC India Calcutta Football League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
Bhawanipore FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Patha Chakra India Calcutta Football League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 26/08 | Bidhannagar MSA India Calcutta Football League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Railways FC India Calcutta Football League |
– | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 19/08 | BSS Sporting Club India Calcutta Football League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 14/08 | East Bengal Club II India Calcutta Football League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 07/08 | Mohun Bagan SG II India Calcutta Football League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | George Telegraph FC India Calcutta Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Kalighat MS India Calcutta Football League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 22/07 | United Kolkata SC India Calcutta Football League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 19/07 | Calcutta Customs India Calcutta Football League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mohammedan SC Reserves vs Bhawanipore FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bhawanipore FC win (46%). Probabilities: Mohammedan SC Reserves 27%, draw 27%, Bhawanipore FC 46%.
How many goals are expected in Mohammedan SC Reserves vs Bhawanipore FC?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Mohammedan SC Reserves 1.07 · Bhawanipore FC 1.49), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Mohammedan SC Reserves vs Bhawanipore FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.