Football · India Calcutta Football League · 15/09, 11:30

Prediction: Coal India vs Bhawanipore FC

Team pages: Coal India · Bhawanipore FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Coal India0.93
Bhawanipore FC1.66
1X2
20% 26% 54%
Coal India Draw Bhawanipore FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Coal India 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WDDLDWDWWL
Bhawanipore FC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWDWDWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Coal India 1511 · Bhawanipore FC 1583
Coal IndiaDrawBhawanipore FC
Our model20%27%53%
Market21%25%54%
Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bhawanipore FC (rating 1511 vs 1583).
  • High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Coal IndiaBhawanipore FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.21.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.70.8 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)43/43/14%56/33/11%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 5.32.5 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 04.1 / 0.3

Standings · India Calcutta Football League · Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Coal India 11641 18722
2 Mohammedan SC Reserves 11632 181221
3 United SC 11623 24920
4 Peerless SC 11623 20920
5 Aryan FC 11542 18619
6 Calcutta Police Club 11533 131118
7 Police AC 11452 131117
8 Measurers Club 11362 211715
9 Suruchi Sangha 11236 11209
10 Rainbow AC 11218 13317
11 Wari AC 11146 9287
12 Kalighat Sports Lovers 11038 4213

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCoal IndiaBhawanipore FC
Mohun Bagan SG II 1-5 L 2-1 W
Mohammedan SC Reserves 2-0 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Coal India

WDDLDWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/09 Mohun Bagan SG II
India Calcutta Football League
0-5 1-5 22 L
03/09 Suruchi Sangha
India Calcutta Football League
1-0 74 W
28/08 Mohammedan SC Reserves
India Calcutta Football League
1-0 2-0 83 W
21/08 Police AC
India Calcutta Football League
0-0 1-1 82 D
14/08 Wari AC
India Calcutta Football League
2-0 5-2 46 W
08/08 Measurers Club
India Calcutta Football League
0-0 1-1 42 D
30/07 Calcutta Police Club
India Calcutta Football League
0-0 0-1 64 L
27/07 Kalighat Sports Lovers
India Calcutta Football League
0-0 D
24/07 Rainbow AC
India Calcutta Football League
2-0 2-2 30 D
21/07 Aryan FC
India Calcutta Football League
1-0 W

Bhawanipore FC

WWWWDWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/09 Mohammedan SC Reserves
India Calcutta Football League
0-1 0-2 104 L
29/08 Patha Chakra
India Calcutta Football League
1-0 2-0 57 W
26/08 Bidhannagar MSA
India Calcutta Football League
2-0 3-0 63 W
23/08 Railways FC
India Calcutta Football League
2-2 24 D
19/08 BSS Sporting Club
India Calcutta Football League
2-0 3-0 72 W
14/08 East Bengal Club II
India Calcutta Football League
0-0 1-1 36 D
07/08 Mohun Bagan SG II
India Calcutta Football League
0-0 2-1 75 W
01/08 George Telegraph FC
India Calcutta Football League
0-0 1-0 126 W
25/07 Kalighat MS
India Calcutta Football League
1-0 1-0 61 W
22/07 United Kolkata SC
India Calcutta Football League
1-0 4-0 46 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Coal India vs Bhawanipore FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bhawanipore FC win (54%). Probabilities: Coal India 20%, draw 26%, Bhawanipore FC 54%.

How many goals are expected in Coal India vs Bhawanipore FC?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Coal India 0.93 · Bhawanipore FC 1.66), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Coal India vs Bhawanipore FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.