Football · India Calcutta Football League · 14/09, 11:30

Prediction: East Bengal Club II vs Mohammedan SC Reserves

Team pages: East Bengal Club II · Mohammedan SC Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

East Bengal Club II1.69

Mohammedan SC Reserves0.95

1X2

55% 24% 21%

East Bengal Club II Draw Mohammedan SC Reserves

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

East Bengal Club II 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WWDDWWWWDD

Mohammedan SC Reserves 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDDWLWLW

Head-to-head

East Bengal Club II 0–1–0 Mohammedan SC Reserves (1 last)

Mohammedan SC Reserves2-2East Bengal Club II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · East Bengal Club II 1589 · Mohammedan SC Reserves 1539

	East Bengal Club II	Draw	Mohammedan SC Reserves
Our model	54%	26%	20%
Market	56%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours East Bengal Club II (rating 1589 vs 1539).
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	East Bengal Club II	Mohammedan SC Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.6	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/44/11%	44/22/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.3	2.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 07:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.61▼	Bet365 1.61
X	3.90 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00
2	3.90 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:53 +9’	1.67	3.90	3.90
06:55 +7’	1.61▼	4.00▲	4.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · East Bengal Club II 0–1–0 Mohammedan SC Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/09/24 India Calcutta Football League	Mohammedan SC Reserves	2-2 HT 1-1	East Bengal Club II

Standings · India Calcutta Football League · Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coal India	11	6	4	1	18	7	22
2	Mohammedan SC Reserves	11	6	3	2	18	12	21
3	United SC	11	6	2	3	24	9	20
4	Peerless SC	11	6	2	3	20	9	20
5	Aryan FC	11	5	4	2	18	6	19
6	Calcutta Police Club	11	5	3	3	13	11	18
7	Police AC	11	4	5	2	13	11	17
8	Measurers Club	11	3	6	2	21	17	15
9	Suruchi Sangha	11	2	3	6	11	20	9
10	Rainbow AC	11	2	1	8	13	31	7
11	Wari AC	11	1	4	6	9	28	7
12	Kalighat Sports Lovers	11	0	3	8	4	21	3

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	East Bengal Club II	Mohammedan SC Reserves
United SC	0-0 D	1-1 D
Bhawanipore FC	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Mohammedan SC Reserves (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

East Bengal Club II

WWDDWWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	United SC India Calcutta Football League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
07/09	Mohun Bagan SG II India Calcutta Football League	–	1-1	4	4	D
02/09	United Kolkata SC India Calcutta Football League	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
30/08	Calcutta Customs India Calcutta Football League	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
27/08	Kidderpore SC India Calcutta Football League	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
24/08	Kalighat MS India Calcutta Football League	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
14/08	Bhawanipore FC India Calcutta Football League	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
03/08	BSS Sporting Club India Calcutta Football League	1-2	3-3	14	3	D
28/07	Patha Chakra India Calcutta Football League	3-1	5-1	4	0	W
18/07	Railways FC India Calcutta Football League	0-0	1-0	11	2	W

Mohammedan SC Reserves

WDWDDWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Bhawanipore FC India Calcutta Football League	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
04/09	Peerless SC India Calcutta Football League	0-1	0-2	10	3	L
31/08	Kalighat Sports Lovers India Calcutta Football League	2-0	2-1	7	5	W
28/08	Coal India India Calcutta Football League	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
25/08	Measurers Club India Calcutta Football League	2-1	3-2	4	4	W
22/08	United SC India Calcutta Football League	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
17/08	Police AC India Calcutta Football League	–	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	Calcutta Police Club India Calcutta Football League	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
05/08	Police AC India Calcutta Football League	0-1	1-1	3	1	D
30/07	Suruchi Sangha India Calcutta Football League	0-0	2-0	9	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in East Bengal Club II vs Mohammedan SC Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a East Bengal Club II win (55%). Probabilities: East Bengal Club II 55%, draw 24%, Mohammedan SC Reserves 21%.

How many goals are expected in East Bengal Club II vs Mohammedan SC Reserves?

The model expects 2.63 goals (East Bengal Club II 1.69 · Mohammedan SC Reserves 0.95), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in East Bengal Club II vs Mohammedan SC Reserves?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.