Football · India Calcutta Football League · 19/09, 11:30
Prediction: Mohun Bagan SG II vs Mohammedan SC Reserves
Team pages: Mohun Bagan SG II · Mohammedan SC Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Mohun Bagan SG II1.88
Mohammedan SC Reserves0.93
1X2
Mohun Bagan SG II
Draw
Mohammedan SC Reserves
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Mohun Bagan SG II
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Mohammedan SC Reserves
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mohun Bagan SG II
0–1
Mohammedan SC Reserves
(1 last)
- Mohun Bagan SG II0-2Mohammedan SC Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mohun Bagan SG II 1575 · Mohammedan SC Reserves 1533
| Mohun Bagan SG II | Draw | Mohammedan SC Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 24% | 17% |
| Market | 59% | 23% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mohun Bagan SG II (rating 1575 vs 1533).
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mohun Bagan SG II | Mohammedan SC Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 44/22/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 7.4 | 2 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.4 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mohun Bagan SG II 0–0–1 Mohammedan SC Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/23 India Calcutta Football League | Mohun Bagan SG II | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Mohammedan SC Reserves |
Standings · India Calcutta Football League · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coal India | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Mohammedan SC Reserves | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | United SC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Peerless SC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | Aryan FC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Calcutta Police Club | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 18 |
| 7 | Police AC | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 17 |
| 8 | Measurers Club | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 15 |
| 9 | Suruchi Sangha | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 9 |
| 10 | Rainbow AC | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 7 |
| 11 | Wari AC | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 7 |
| 12 | Kalighat Sports Lovers | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mohun Bagan SG II | Mohammedan SC Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| United SC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Coal India | 5-1 W | 0-2 L |
| East Bengal Club II | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Bhawanipore FC | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mohun Bagan SG II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | United SC India Calcutta Football League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 10/09 | Coal India India Calcutta Football League |
5-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 07/09 | East Bengal Club II India Calcutta Football League |
– | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Railways FC India Calcutta Football League |
– | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 26/08 | George Telegraph FC India Calcutta Football League |
2-0 | 6-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 13/08 | Bidhannagar MSA India Calcutta Football League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 07/08 | Bhawanipore FC India Calcutta Football League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Calcutta Customs India Calcutta Football League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 28/07 | United Kolkata SC India Calcutta Football League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 19/07 | Kalighat MS India Calcutta Football League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 0 | W |
Mohammedan SC Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | East Bengal Club II India Calcutta Football League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 11/09 | Bhawanipore FC India Calcutta Football League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 04/09 | Peerless SC India Calcutta Football League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Kalighat Sports Lovers India Calcutta Football League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 28/08 | Coal India India Calcutta Football League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 25/08 | Measurers Club India Calcutta Football League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | United SC India Calcutta Football League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 17/08 | Police AC India Calcutta Football League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Calcutta Police Club India Calcutta Football League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 05/08 | Police AC India Calcutta Football League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mohun Bagan SG II vs Mohammedan SC Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mohun Bagan SG II win (59%). Probabilities: Mohun Bagan SG II 59%, draw 23%, Mohammedan SC Reserves 17%.
How many goals are expected in Mohun Bagan SG II vs Mohammedan SC Reserves?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Mohun Bagan SG II 1.88 · Mohammedan SC Reserves 0.93), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Mohun Bagan SG II vs Mohammedan SC Reserves?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.