Football · India Calcutta Football League · 10/09, 11:30

Prediction: Mohun Bagan SG II vs Coal India

Team pages: Mohun Bagan SG II · Coal India

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Mohun Bagan SG II1.33
Coal India1.16
1X2
39% 29% 31%
Mohun Bagan SG II Draw Coal India
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Mohun Bagan SG II 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WDWWLLWWWD
Coal India 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WWDDLDWDWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mohun Bagan SG II 1571 · Coal India 1544
Mohun Bagan SG IIDrawCoal India
Our model39%29%31%
Market39%29%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 13.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Mohun Bagan SG IICoal India
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 0.61.6 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 00.7 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)63/38/0%43/57/0%
Corners (HT / FT)4.1 / 8.42.3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.33 / 0.1

Standings · India Calcutta Football League · Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Coal India 11641 18722
2 Mohammedan SC Reserves 11632 181221
3 United SC 11623 24920
4 Peerless SC 11623 20920
5 Aryan FC 11542 18619
6 Calcutta Police Club 11533 131118
7 Police AC 11452 131117
8 Measurers Club 11362 211715
9 Suruchi Sangha 11236 11209
10 Rainbow AC 11218 13317
11 Wari AC 11146 9287
12 Kalighat Sports Lovers 11038 4213

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mohun Bagan SG II

WDWWLLWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/09 East Bengal Club II
India Calcutta Football League
1-1 84 D
29/08 Railways FC
India Calcutta Football League
3-1 74 W
26/08 George Telegraph FC
India Calcutta Football League
2-0 6-0 123 W
13/08 Bidhannagar MSA
India Calcutta Football League
2-0 3-0 51 W
07/08 Bhawanipore FC
India Calcutta Football League
0-0 1-2 25 L
01/08 Calcutta Customs
India Calcutta Football League
0-0 0-1 32 L
28/07 United Kolkata SC
India Calcutta Football League
1-0 1-0 98 W
19/07 Kalighat MS
India Calcutta Football League
0-0 3-0 150 W
16/07 Kidderpore SC
India Calcutta Football League
1-0 1-1 126 D
13/07 Patha Chakra
India Calcutta Football League
1-0 4-0 113 W

Coal India

WWDDLDWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/09 Suruchi Sangha
India Calcutta Football League
1-0 74 W
28/08 Mohammedan SC Reserves
India Calcutta Football League
1-0 2-0 83 W
21/08 Police AC
India Calcutta Football League
0-0 1-1 82 D
14/08 Wari AC
India Calcutta Football League
2-0 5-2 46 W
08/08 Measurers Club
India Calcutta Football League
0-0 1-1 42 D
30/07 Calcutta Police Club
India Calcutta Football League
0-0 0-1 64 L
27/07 Kalighat Sports Lovers
India Calcutta Football League
0-0 D
24/07 Rainbow AC
India Calcutta Football League
2-0 2-2 30 D
21/07 Aryan FC
India Calcutta Football League
1-0 W
17/07 Peerless SC
India Calcutta Football League
0-0 3-0 44 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mohun Bagan SG II vs Coal India?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mohun Bagan SG II win (39%). Probabilities: Mohun Bagan SG II 39%, draw 29%, Coal India 31%.

How many goals are expected in Mohun Bagan SG II vs Coal India?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Mohun Bagan SG II 1.33 · Coal India 1.16), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Mohun Bagan SG II vs Coal India?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.