Football · India Mizoram Premier League · 16/09, 11:30
Prediction: Aizawl FC XI vs Mizoram Police FC
Team pages: Aizawl FC XI · Mizoram Police FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.5Total
Aizawl FC XI2.58
Mizoram Police FC0.92
1X2
Aizawl FC XI
Draw
Mizoram Police FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Aizawl FC XI
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Mizoram Police FC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aizawl FC XI
6–0
Mizoram Police FC
(6 last)
- Mizoram Police FC2-4Aizawl FC XI
- Aizawl FC XI5-0Mizoram Police FC
- Aizawl FC XI1-0Mizoram Police FC
- Mizoram Police FC1-2Aizawl FC XI
- Mizoram Police FC0-2Aizawl FC XI
- Aizawl FC XI4-1Mizoram Police FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aizawl FC XI 1621 · Mizoram Police FC 1522
| Aizawl FC XI | Draw | Mizoram Police FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 17% | 10% |
| Market | 74% | 13% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aizawl FC XI (rating 1621 vs 1522).
- H2H favours Aizawl FC XI: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aizawl FC XI | Mizoram Police FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.2 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.5 | 1.8 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aizawl FC XI 6–0–0 Mizoram Police FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/25 India Mizoram Premier League | Mizoram Police FC | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Aizawl FC XI |
| 22/08/25 India Mizoram Premier League | Aizawl FC XI | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Mizoram Police FC |
| 15/10/24 India Mizoram Premier League | Aizawl FC XI | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Mizoram Police FC |
| 13/09/24 India Mizoram Premier League | Mizoram Police FC | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Aizawl FC XI |
| 09/08/24 India Regional Cup | Mizoram Police FC | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Aizawl FC XI |
| 27/07/24 India Mizoram Premier League | Aizawl FC XI | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Mizoram Police FC |
Standings · India Mizoram Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aizawl FC XI | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Mizoram Police FC | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Chanmari FC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | MLS FC Lawngtlai | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 10 |
| 5 | Dinthar FC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 9 |
| 6 | Ramthar Veng FC | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
| 7 | Saikhamakawn FC | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 8 | Kanan FC | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aizawl FC XI | Mizoram Police FC |
|---|---|---|
| Chanmari FC | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Dinthar FC | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Ramthar Veng FC | 5-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Kanan FC | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| MLS FC Lawngtlai | 5-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Saikhamakawn FC | 5-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Aizawl FC XI (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aizawl FC XI
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 09/09 | Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Ramthar Veng FC India Mizoram Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 02/09 | Kanan FC India Mizoram Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 29/08 | MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League |
2-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/08 | Saikhamakawn FC India Mizoram Premier League |
0-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/11 | Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 28/10 | Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 24/10 | Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 21/10 | Saikhamakawn FC India Mizoram Premier League |
0-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
Mizoram Police FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Kanan FC India Mizoram Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 08/09 | MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 04/09 | Saikhamakawn FC India Mizoram Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 02/09 | Ramthar Veng FC India Mizoram Premier League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 28/08 | Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 26/08 | Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 21/10 | MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 16/10 | Aizawl FC XI India Mizoram Premier League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 14/10 | Kanan FC India Mizoram Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/10 | SYS FC India Mizoram Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aizawl FC XI vs Mizoram Police FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aizawl FC XI win (73%). Probabilities: Aizawl FC XI 73%, draw 15%, Mizoram Police FC 12%.
How many goals are expected in Aizawl FC XI vs Mizoram Police FC?
The model expects 3.5 goals (Aizawl FC XI 2.58 · Mizoram Police FC 0.92), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Aizawl FC XI vs Mizoram Police FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.