Football · India Mizoram Premier League · 26/09, 11:30

Prediction: Mizoram Police FC vs Chanmari FC

Team pages: Mizoram Police FC · Chanmari FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Mizoram Police FC1.06

Chanmari FC1.68

1X2

24% 24% 52%

Mizoram Police FC Draw Chanmari FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Mizoram Police FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LLWDDWWDDW

Chanmari FC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWLDDWW

Head-to-head

Mizoram Police FC 1–4–1 Chanmari FC (6 last)

Chanmari FC0-0Mizoram Police FC
Chanmari FC2-0Mizoram Police FC
Mizoram Police FC1-1Chanmari FC
Mizoram Police FC0-0Chanmari FC
Chanmari FC1-2Mizoram Police FC
Chanmari FC2-2Mizoram Police FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mizoram Police FC 1527 · Chanmari FC 1554

	Mizoram Police FC	Draw	Chanmari FC
Our model	23%	27%	51%
Market	25%	22%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mizoram Police FC	Chanmari FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.1	2.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.1	2.8 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

13.60

X4.00

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.88

2 (-0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:42 +14’	3.60	4.00	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mizoram Police FC 1–4–1 Chanmari FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/08/26 India Mizoram Premier League	Chanmari FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Mizoram Police FC
22/09/25 India Mizoram Premier League	Chanmari FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Mizoram Police FC
26/08/25 India Mizoram Premier League	Mizoram Police FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Chanmari FC
12/10/24 India Mizoram Premier League	Mizoram Police FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Chanmari FC
08/10/24 India Mizoram Premier League	Chanmari FC	1-2 HT 0-1	Mizoram Police FC
27/09/24 India Mizoram Premier League	Chanmari FC	2-2 HT 2-0	Mizoram Police FC

Standings · India Mizoram Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aizawl FC XI	9	7	2	0	31	5	23
2	Mizoram Police FC	8	4	4	0	12	6	16
3	Chanmari FC	8	4	3	1	17	8	15
4	Dinthar FC	9	4	0	5	9	16	12
5	MLS FC Lawngtlai	9	3	1	5	10	17	10
6	Ramthar Veng FC	8	1	4	3	9	15	7
7	Saikhamakawn FC	8	2	0	6	11	18	6
8	Kanan FC	9	1	2	6	10	24	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mizoram Police FC	Chanmari FC
MLS FC Lawngtlai	1-0 W	4-0 W
Aizawl FC XI	1-1 D	2-2 D
Kanan FC	1-1 D	5-1 W
Saikhamakawn FC	2-1 W	1-0 W
Ramthar Veng FC	3-3 D	2-1 W
Dinthar FC	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Chanmari FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mizoram Police FC

LLWDDWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	1-0	10	1	W
16/09	Aizawl FC XI India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	1-1	0	1	D
11/09	Kanan FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	1	D
08/09	MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
04/09	Saikhamakawn FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
02/09	Ramthar Veng FC India Mizoram Premier League	2-1	3-3	3	5	D
28/08	Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
26/08	Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
21/10	MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
16/10	Aizawl FC XI India Mizoram Premier League	1-2	2-4	4	2	L

Chanmari FC

WWWDWLDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Ramthar Veng FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-1	2-1	8	5	W
16/09	Saikhamakawn FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
12/09	Aizawl FC XI India Mizoram Premier League	1-0	2-2	2	6	D
09/09	Ramthar Veng FC India Mizoram Premier League	2-1	2-2	8	4	D
05/09	Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-1	1-2	10	3	L
01/09	MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League	1-0	4-0	5	2	W
28/08	Mizoram Police FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
25/08	Kanan FC India Mizoram Premier League	4-0	5-1	7	5	W
01/11	Aizawl FC XI India Mizoram Premier League	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
28/10	MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	3-1	1	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mizoram Police FC vs Chanmari FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Chanmari FC win (52%). Probabilities: Mizoram Police FC 24%, draw 24%, Chanmari FC 52%.

How many goals are expected in Mizoram Police FC vs Chanmari FC?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Mizoram Police FC 1.06 · Chanmari FC 1.68), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Mizoram Police FC vs Chanmari FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.