Football · India Mizoram Premier League · 25/09, 15:30

Prediction: Aizawl FC XI vs MLS FC Lawngtlai

Team pages: Aizawl FC XI · MLS FC Lawngtlai

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.97Total

Aizawl FC XI2.98

MLS FC Lawngtlai0.98

1X2

81% 12% 7%

Aizawl FC XI Draw MLS FC Lawngtlai

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-0 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Aizawl FC XI 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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MLS FC Lawngtlai 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Aizawl FC XI 3–0 MLS FC Lawngtlai (3 last)

MLS FC Lawngtlai2-5Aizawl FC XI
MLS FC Lawngtlai1-4Aizawl FC XI
Aizawl FC XI2-0MLS FC Lawngtlai

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aizawl FC XI 1617 · MLS FC Lawngtlai 1462

	Aizawl FC XI	Draw	MLS FC Lawngtlai
Our model	77%	14%	9%
Market	84%	10%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 3.97 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aizawl FC XI (rating 1617 vs 1462).
H2H favours Aizawl FC XI: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aizawl FC XI	MLS FC Lawngtlai
Goals for / against (FT)	3.2 / 0.7	1.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.2	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.3	1.3 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.11

X9.00

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.75)1.85

2 (+2.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 41.80

Under 42.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.06 → 1.11▲	Bet365 1.11
X	11.00 → 9.00▼	Bet365 9.00
2	19.00 → 15.00▼	Bet365 15.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:01 +4’	1.06	11.00	19.00
13:40 +2’	1.11▲	9.00▼	15.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Aizawl FC XI 3–0–0 MLS FC Lawngtlai

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 India Mizoram Premier League	MLS FC Lawngtlai	2-5 HT 0-2	Aizawl FC XI
09/10/25 India Mizoram Premier League	MLS FC Lawngtlai	1-4 HT 0-2	Aizawl FC XI
04/09/25 India Mizoram Premier League	Aizawl FC XI	2-0 HT 1-0	MLS FC Lawngtlai

Standings · India Mizoram Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aizawl FC XI	8	6	2	0	30	5	20
2	Mizoram Police FC	8	4	4	0	12	6	16
3	Chanmari FC	8	4	3	1	17	8	15
4	MLS FC Lawngtlai	8	3	1	4	10	16	10
5	Dinthar FC	8	3	0	5	7	15	9
6	Ramthar Veng FC	8	1	4	3	9	15	7
7	Saikhamakawn FC	8	2	0	6	11	18	6
8	Kanan FC	8	1	2	5	9	22	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aizawl FC XI	MLS FC Lawngtlai
Dinthar FC	4-0 W	2-1 W
Mizoram Police FC	1-1 D	0-1 L
Chanmari FC	2-2 D	0-4 L
Ramthar Veng FC	5-0 W	0-0 D
Kanan FC	5-0 W	3-0 W
Saikhamakawn FC	5-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Aizawl FC XI (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aizawl FC XI

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-0	4-0	7	6	W
16/09	Mizoram Police FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
12/09	Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-1	2-2	5	6	D
09/09	Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League	2-0	3-0	5	3	W
05/09	Ramthar Veng FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-0	5-0	4	0	W
02/09	Kanan FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-0	5-0	4	0	W
29/08	MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League	2-0	5-2	4	3	W
26/08	Saikhamakawn FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	5-0	4	2	W
01/11	Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
28/10	Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League	2-0	2-1	6	1	W

MLS FC Lawngtlai

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Mizoram Police FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
15/09	Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
11/09	Saikhamakawn FC India Mizoram Premier League	2-1	3-2	4	1	W
08/09	Mizoram Police FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-1	0-3	8	4	L
04/09	Kanan FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	3-0	5	1	W
01/09	Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-1	0-4	2	2	L
29/08	Aizawl FC XI India Mizoram Premier League	0-2	2-5	2	3	L
25/08	Ramthar Veng FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
28/10	Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	1-3	2	9	L
24/10	Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-2	0-2	1	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aizawl FC XI vs MLS FC Lawngtlai?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Aizawl FC XI win (81%). Probabilities: Aizawl FC XI 81%, draw 12%, MLS FC Lawngtlai 7%.

How many goals are expected in Aizawl FC XI vs MLS FC Lawngtlai?

The model expects 3.97 goals (Aizawl FC XI 2.98 · MLS FC Lawngtlai 0.98), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Aizawl FC XI vs MLS FC Lawngtlai?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.