Football · India Mizoram Premier League · 19/09, 11:30

Prediction: MLS FC Lawngtlai vs Mizoram Police FC

Team pages: MLS FC Lawngtlai · Mizoram Police FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

MLS FC Lawngtlai1.43

Mizoram Police FC1.66

1X2

32% 25% 42%

MLS FC Lawngtlai Draw Mizoram Police FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

MLS FC Lawngtlai 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Mizoram Police FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWDDWWDD

Head-to-head

MLS FC Lawngtlai 2–2 Mizoram Police FC (4 last)

Mizoram Police FC3-0MLS FC Lawngtlai
Mizoram Police FC1-3MLS FC Lawngtlai
MLS FC Lawngtlai1-0Mizoram Police FC
Mizoram Police FC2-1MLS FC Lawngtlai

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MLS FC Lawngtlai 1498 · Mizoram Police FC 1518

	MLS FC Lawngtlai	Draw	Mizoram Police FC
Our model	32%	26%	42%
Market	33%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MLS FC Lawngtlai	Mizoram Police FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.7	1.6 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	2.4 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
08:20 +2’	2.75	3.60	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MLS FC Lawngtlai 2–0–2 Mizoram Police FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/09/26 India Mizoram Premier League	Mizoram Police FC	3-0 HT 1-0	MLS FC Lawngtlai
10/08/26 India Regional Cup	Mizoram Police FC	1-3 HT 0-1	MLS FC Lawngtlai
21/10/25 India Mizoram Premier League	MLS FC Lawngtlai	1-0 HT 0-0	Mizoram Police FC
28/08/25 India Mizoram Premier League	Mizoram Police FC	2-1 HT 2-0	MLS FC Lawngtlai

Standings · India Mizoram Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aizawl FC XI	7	5	2	0	26	5	17
2	Mizoram Police FC	7	3	4	0	11	6	13
3	Chanmari FC	7	3	3	1	15	7	12
4	MLS FC Lawngtlai	7	3	1	3	10	15	10
5	Dinthar FC	7	3	0	4	7	11	9
6	Ramthar Veng FC	7	1	4	2	8	13	7
7	Saikhamakawn FC	7	2	0	5	9	13	6
8	Kanan FC	7	0	2	5	4	20	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MLS FC Lawngtlai	Mizoram Police FC
Dinthar FC	2-1 W	1-0 W
Saikhamakawn FC	3-2 W	2-1 W
Kanan FC	3-0 W	1-1 D
Chanmari FC	0-4 L	0-0 D
Aizawl FC XI	2-5 L	1-1 D
Ramthar Veng FC	0-0 D	3-3 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Mizoram Police FC (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MLS FC Lawngtlai

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/09	Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
11/09	Saikhamakawn FC India Mizoram Premier League	2-1	3-2	4	1	W
08/09	Mizoram Police FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-1	0-3	8	4	L
04/09	Kanan FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	3-0	5	1	W
01/09	Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-1	0-4	2	2	L
29/08	Aizawl FC XI India Mizoram Premier League	0-2	2-5	2	3	L
25/08	Ramthar Veng FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
28/10	Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	1-3	2	9	L
24/10	Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-2	0-2	1	6	L
21/10	Mizoram Police FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	1-0	10	1	W

Mizoram Police FC

WLLWDDWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	Aizawl FC XI India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	1-1	0	1	D
11/09	Kanan FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	1	D
08/09	MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
04/09	Saikhamakawn FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
02/09	Ramthar Veng FC India Mizoram Premier League	2-1	3-3	3	5	D
28/08	Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
26/08	Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
21/10	MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
16/10	Aizawl FC XI India Mizoram Premier League	1-2	2-4	4	2	L
14/10	Kanan FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-1	2-1	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MLS FC Lawngtlai vs Mizoram Police FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mizoram Police FC win (42%). Probabilities: MLS FC Lawngtlai 32%, draw 25%, Mizoram Police FC 42%.

How many goals are expected in MLS FC Lawngtlai vs Mizoram Police FC?

The model expects 3.08 goals (MLS FC Lawngtlai 1.43 · Mizoram Police FC 1.66), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MLS FC Lawngtlai vs Mizoram Police FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.