Football · Angola Girabola · 31/10, 15:30

Prediction: Academica Do Lobito vs FC Bravos do Maquis

Team pages: Academica Do Lobito · FC Bravos do Maquis

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.69Total

Academica Do Lobito0.78

FC Bravos do Maquis0.9

1X2

29% 35% 36%

Academica Do Lobito Draw FC Bravos do Maquis

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 52% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-0 20%

Recent form · 10 last

Academica Do Lobito 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

DDLLLLLDDD

FC Bravos do Maquis 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWWDDD

Head-to-head

Academica Do Lobito 3–2–1 FC Bravos do Maquis (6 last)

FC Bravos do Maquis1-0Academica Do Lobito
Academica Do Lobito1-0FC Bravos do Maquis
FC Bravos do Maquis0-0Academica Do Lobito
Academica Do Lobito0-0FC Bravos do Maquis
FC Bravos do Maquis0-1Academica Do Lobito
Academica Do Lobito1-0FC Bravos do Maquis

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Academica Do Lobito 1428 · FC Bravos do Maquis 1510

	Academica Do Lobito	Draw	FC Bravos do Maquis
Our model	28%	37%	35%
Market	30%	33%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 1.69 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Bravos do Maquis (rating 1428 vs 1510).
H2H favours Academica Do Lobito: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Academica Do Lobito	FC Bravos do Maquis
Goals for / against (FT)	0.3 / 1.2	1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/38/38%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 4.3	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	7 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X2.70

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.08

2 (0)1.73

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.80

Under 1.752.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
08:34 +40’	3.00	2.70	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Academica Do Lobito 3–2–1 FC Bravos do Maquis

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Angola Girabola	FC Bravos do Maquis	1-0	Academica Do Lobito
26/10/25 Angola Girabola	Academica Do Lobito	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Bravos do Maquis
26/04/25 Angola Girabola	FC Bravos do Maquis	0-0	Academica Do Lobito
22/11/24 Angola Girabola	Academica Do Lobito	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Bravos do Maquis
15/05/24 Angola Girabola	FC Bravos do Maquis	0-1	Academica Do Lobito
13/12/23 Angola Girabola	Academica Do Lobito	1-0	FC Bravos do Maquis

Standings · Angola Girabola

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Wiliete SC	7	6	1	0	14	2	19
2	Desportivo da Huila	9	5	2	2	9	5	17
3	Petro Luanda	7	4	3	0	8	1	15
4	FC Bravos do Maquis	8	4	3	1	10	5	15
5	Primeiro de Agosto	7	4	2	1	10	7	14
6	GD Interclube	9	4	2	3	9	8	14
7	Sagrada Esperanca	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
8	CD Lunda Sul	8	2	4	2	7	6	10
9	CR Da Caala	8	2	3	3	7	8	9
10	Recreativo do Libolo	8	3	0	5	8	14	9
11	Sao Salvador	8	2	2	4	4	7	8
12	1º de Maio de Benguela	8	2	2	4	9	12	8
13	Kabuscorp	7	1	3	3	4	6	6
14	FC Luanda	8	1	2	5	7	13	5
15	FC Cabinda	7	0	4	3	3	8	4
16	Academica Do Lobito	8	0	3	5	2	11	3

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Academica Do Lobito	FC Bravos do Maquis
1º de Maio de Benguela	0-2 L	2-2 D
Petro Luanda	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Bravos do Maquis (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Academica Do Lobito

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FC Luanda Angola Girabola	–	1-1	–	–	D
17/10	FC Cabinda Angola Girabola	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
11/10	Primeiro de Agosto Angola Girabola	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
20/09	Desportivo da Huila Angola Girabola	–	0-1	–	–	L
10/09	GD Interclube Angola Girabola	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
05/09	1º de Maio de Benguela Angola Girabola	0-1	0-2	7	9	L
30/08	Petro Luanda Angola Girabola	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
23/08	Wiliete SC Angola Girabola	0-2	0-2	4	3	L
24/05	GD Interclube Angola Girabola	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
20/05	Petro Luanda Angola Girabola	1-0	1-1	4	1	D

FC Bravos do Maquis

LLWWLWWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Petro Luanda Angola Girabola	–	1-1	–	–	D
17/10	CD Lunda Sul Angola Girabola	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/10	1º de Maio de Benguela Angola Girabola	1-1	2-2	4	7	D
20/09	CR Da Caala Angola Girabola	–	2-1	–	–	W
16/09	Kabuscorp Angola Girabola	–	1-0	–	–	W
06/09	Sao Salvador Angola Girabola	–	0-1	–	–	L
31/08	Recreativo do Libolo Angola Girabola	–	1-0	–	–	W
22/08	Sagrada Esperanca Angola Girabola	–	3-0	–	–	W
24/05	RSD Guelson FC Angola Girabola	–	0-2	–	–	L
20/05	CD Lunda Sul Angola Girabola	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Academica Do Lobito vs FC Bravos do Maquis?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Bravos do Maquis win (36%). Probabilities: Academica Do Lobito 29%, draw 35%, FC Bravos do Maquis 36%.

How many goals are expected in Academica Do Lobito vs FC Bravos do Maquis?

The model expects 1.69 goals (Academica Do Lobito 0.78 · FC Bravos do Maquis 0.9), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Academica Do Lobito vs FC Bravos do Maquis?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.