Football · Angola Girabola · 31/10, 15:30

Prediction: Primeiro de Agosto vs Petro Luanda

Team pages: Primeiro de Agosto · Petro Luanda

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.68Total

Primeiro de Agosto0.88

Petro Luanda0.79

1X2

35% 35% 30%

Primeiro de Agosto Draw Petro Luanda

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-0 20%

Recent form · 10 last

Primeiro de Agosto 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWDWDL

Petro Luanda 4-6-0 (W-D-L)

DDDDWWWDWD

Head-to-head

Primeiro de Agosto 3–2–1 Petro Luanda (6 last)

Petro Luanda0-1Primeiro de Agosto
Petro Luanda0-1Primeiro de Agosto
Primeiro de Agosto1-1Petro Luanda
Petro Luanda0-0Primeiro de Agosto
Primeiro de Agosto0-3Petro Luanda
Primeiro de Agosto2-1Petro Luanda

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Primeiro de Agosto 1582 · Petro Luanda 1551

	Primeiro de Agosto	Draw	Petro Luanda
Our model	34%	37%	29%
Market	36%	33%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 1.68 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Primeiro de Agosto: 3-2-1.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Primeiro de Agosto	Petro Luanda
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/22/56%	33/50/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 7.7	3.3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.50

X2.70

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.80

Under 1.752.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
09:02 +13’	2.50	2.70	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Primeiro de Agosto 3–2–1 Petro Luanda

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/11/25 Angola Girabola	Petro Luanda	0-1 HT 0-0	Primeiro de Agosto
10/05/25 Angola Girabola	Petro Luanda	0-1 HT 0-1	Primeiro de Agosto
08/12/24 Angola Girabola	Primeiro de Agosto	1-1 HT 0-0	Petro Luanda
15/05/24 Angola Girabola	Petro Luanda	0-0 HT 0-0	Primeiro de Agosto
29/10/23 Angola Girabola	Primeiro de Agosto	0-3 HT 0-0	Petro Luanda
16/04/23 Angola Girabola	Primeiro de Agosto	2-1 HT 1-1	Petro Luanda

Standings · Angola Girabola

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Wiliete SC	7	6	1	0	14	2	19
2	Desportivo da Huila	9	5	2	2	9	5	17
3	Petro Luanda	7	4	3	0	8	1	15
4	FC Bravos do Maquis	8	4	3	1	10	5	15
5	Primeiro de Agosto	7	4	2	1	10	7	14
6	GD Interclube	9	4	2	3	9	8	14
7	Sagrada Esperanca	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
8	CD Lunda Sul	8	2	4	2	7	6	10
9	CR Da Caala	8	2	3	3	7	8	9
10	Recreativo do Libolo	8	3	0	5	8	14	9
11	Sao Salvador	8	2	2	4	4	7	8
12	1º de Maio de Benguela	8	2	2	4	9	12	8
13	Kabuscorp	7	1	3	3	4	6	6
14	FC Luanda	8	1	2	5	7	13	5
15	FC Cabinda	7	0	4	3	3	8	4
16	Academica Do Lobito	8	0	3	5	2	11	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Primeiro de Agosto	Petro Luanda
CR Da Caala	0-1 L	0-0 D
Academica Do Lobito	1-1 D	2-0 W
1º de Maio de Benguela	2-1 W	0-0 D
Desportivo da Huila	1-0 W	0-0 D
Kabuscorp	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Petro Luanda (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Primeiro de Agosto

LWDWWWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	CR Da Caala Angola Girabola	–	0-1	–	–	L
11/10	Academica Do Lobito Angola Girabola	0-1	1-1	10	2	D
19/09	FC Luanda Angola Girabola	0-1	3-2	8	2	W
09/09	FC Cabinda Angola Girabola	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
01/09	GD Interclube Angola Girabola	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
27/08	1º de Maio de Benguela Angola Girabola	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
22/08	Desportivo da Huila Angola Girabola	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
24/05	Redonda FC Angola Girabola	0-1	1-1	15	4	D
20/05	Luanda City Angola Girabola	1-0	1-0	6	3	W
16/05	Kabuscorp Angola Girabola	0-0	0-1	6	8	L

Petro Luanda

DDDDWWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	FC Bravos do Maquis Angola Girabola	–	1-1	–	–	D
13/10	Kabuscorp Angola Girabola	1-0	1-0	8	6	W
09/10	CR Da Caala Angola Girabola	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
17/09	Sao Salvador Angola Girabola	–	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	Academica Do Lobito Angola Girabola	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
26/08	Recreativo do Libolo Angola Girabola	1-0	3-0	7	3	W
21/08	CD Lunda Sul Angola Girabola	–	0-0	–	–	D
24/05	Desportivo da Huila Angola Girabola	–	0-0	–	–	D
20/05	Academica Do Lobito Angola Girabola	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
16/05	1º de Maio de Benguela Angola Girabola	0-0	0-0	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Primeiro de Agosto vs Petro Luanda?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Primeiro de Agosto win (35%). Probabilities: Primeiro de Agosto 35%, draw 35%, Petro Luanda 30%.

How many goals are expected in Primeiro de Agosto vs Petro Luanda?

The model expects 1.68 goals (Primeiro de Agosto 0.88 · Petro Luanda 0.79), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Primeiro de Agosto vs Petro Luanda?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.