Football · Angola Girabola · 04/11, 15:30

Prediction: Primeiro de Agosto vs Wiliete SC

Team pages: Primeiro de Agosto · Wiliete SC

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.93Total

Primeiro de Agosto1.07

Wiliete SC0.86

1X2

39% 34% 27%

Primeiro de Agosto Draw Wiliete SC

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Primeiro de Agosto 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDWDLD

Wiliete SC 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DDWWWWWDWW

Head-to-head

Primeiro de Agosto 0–5–1 Wiliete SC (6 last)

Wiliete SC0-0Primeiro de Agosto
Primeiro de Agosto1-1Wiliete SC
Wiliete SC2-2Primeiro de Agosto
Primeiro de Agosto0-0Wiliete SC
Wiliete SC1-0Primeiro de Agosto
Wiliete SC0-0Primeiro de Agosto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Primeiro de Agosto 1582 · Wiliete SC 1600

	Primeiro de Agosto	Draw	Wiliete SC
Our model	39%	34%	27%
Market	39%	34%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 1.93 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Primeiro de Agosto	Wiliete SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.9	1.9 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	1.2 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/22/56%	83/17/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 7.7	2.8 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X2.63

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 22.00

Under 21.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	2.90 → 2.63▼	Bet365 2.63
2	3.00 → 3.25▲	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:00 +5’	2.30	2.90	3.00
11:59 +4’	2.30	2.63▼	3.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2

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We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Primeiro de Agosto 0–5–1 Wiliete SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/04/26 Angola Cup	Wiliete SC	0-0 HT 0-0	Primeiro de Agosto
19/04/26 Angola Girabola	Primeiro de Agosto	1-1 HT 0-1	Wiliete SC
23/11/25 Angola Girabola	Wiliete SC	2-2	Primeiro de Agosto
18/05/25 Angola Girabola	Primeiro de Agosto	0-0 HT 0-0	Wiliete SC
15/12/24 Angola Girabola	Wiliete SC	1-0 HT 1-0	Primeiro de Agosto
05/05/24 Angola Girabola	Wiliete SC	0-0	Primeiro de Agosto

Standings · Angola Girabola

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Wiliete SC	8	7	1	0	17	2	22
2	Petro Luanda	9	5	4	0	13	2	19
3	FC Bravos do Maquis	9	5	3	1	11	5	18
4	Desportivo da Huila	10	5	2	3	9	9	17
5	Primeiro de Agosto	8	4	3	1	11	8	15
6	GD Interclube	9	4	2	3	9	8	14
7	Recreativo do Libolo	9	4	0	5	11	15	12
8	Sagrada Esperanca	8	3	2	3	11	11	11
9	Sao Salvador	9	3	2	4	5	7	11
10	1º de Maio de Benguela	9	3	2	4	11	13	11
11	CR Da Caala	9	2	4	3	7	8	10
12	CD Lunda Sul	9	2	4	3	7	7	10
13	Kabuscorp	8	1	4	3	4	6	7
14	FC Luanda	9	1	2	6	8	15	5
15	FC Cabinda	8	0	4	4	3	11	4
16	Academica Do Lobito	9	0	3	6	2	12	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Primeiro de Agosto	Wiliete SC
CR Da Caala	0-1 L	2-1 W
Academica Do Lobito	1-1 D	2-0 W
FC Luanda	3-2 W	2-0 W
FC Cabinda	1-1 D	3-0 W
Desportivo da Huila	1-0 W	1-0 W
Redonda FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Wiliete SC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Primeiro de Agosto

WDWWWDWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Petro Luanda Angola Girabola	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
27/10	CR Da Caala Angola Girabola	–	0-1	–	–	L
11/10	Academica Do Lobito Angola Girabola	0-1	1-1	10	2	D
19/09	FC Luanda Angola Girabola	0-1	3-2	8	2	W
09/09	FC Cabinda Angola Girabola	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
01/09	GD Interclube Angola Girabola	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
27/08	1º de Maio de Benguela Angola Girabola	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
22/08	Desportivo da Huila Angola Girabola	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
24/05	Redonda FC Angola Girabola	0-1	1-1	15	4	D
20/05	Luanda City Angola Girabola	1-0	1-0	6	3	W

Wiliete SC

DDWWWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	FC Cabinda Angola Girabola	1-0	3-0	2	4	W
28/10	Sao Salvador Angola Girabola	0-0	1-0	14	3	W
10/10	Kabuscorp Angola Girabola	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
20/09	Recreativo do Libolo Angola Girabola	1-0	5-0	5	1	W
13/09	FC Luanda Angola Girabola	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
31/08	Desportivo da Huila Angola Girabola	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/08	CR Da Caala Angola Girabola	–	2-1	–	–	W
23/08	Academica Do Lobito Angola Girabola	2-0	2-0	5	3	W
24/05	CD Lunda Sul Angola Girabola	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/05	Redonda FC Angola Girabola	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Primeiro de Agosto vs Wiliete SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Primeiro de Agosto win (39%). Probabilities: Primeiro de Agosto 39%, draw 34%, Wiliete SC 27%.

How many goals are expected in Primeiro de Agosto vs Wiliete SC?

The model expects 1.93 goals (Primeiro de Agosto 1.07 · Wiliete SC 0.86), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Primeiro de Agosto vs Wiliete SC?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.