Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 10/10, 17:00

Prediction: Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar

Team pages: Radnik Bijeljina · Zeljeznicar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

Radnik Bijeljina1.31

Zeljeznicar1.05

1X2

42% 30% 29%

Radnik Bijeljina Draw Zeljeznicar

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Radnik Bijeljina 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

DLDLLDDLLD

Zeljeznicar 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLDLWWDD

Head-to-head

Radnik Bijeljina 1–2–3 Zeljeznicar (6 last)

Radnik Bijeljina0-3Zeljeznicar
Zeljeznicar0-0Radnik Bijeljina
Radnik Bijeljina1-0Zeljeznicar
Zeljeznicar1-1Radnik Bijeljina
Radnik Bijeljina1-2Zeljeznicar
Radnik Bijeljina2-3Zeljeznicar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Radnik Bijeljina 1408 · Zeljeznicar 1501

	Radnik Bijeljina	Draw	Zeljeznicar
Our model	41%	30%	28%
Market	42%	29%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zeljeznicar (rating 1408 vs 1501).
H2H favours Zeljeznicar: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Radnik Bijeljina	Zeljeznicar
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.3	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.4	1.2 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.10

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
17:19 +4’	2.15	3.10	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Radnik Bijeljina 1–2–3 Zeljeznicar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	Radnik Bijeljina	0-3 HT 0-2	Zeljeznicar
13/12/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	Zeljeznicar	0-0 HT 0-0	Radnik Bijeljina
05/10/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	Radnik Bijeljina	1-0 HT 1-0	Zeljeznicar
27/07/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	Zeljeznicar	1-1 HT 1-1	Radnik Bijeljina
31/05/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	Radnik Bijeljina	1-2 HT 0-0	Zeljeznicar
16/03/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	Radnik Bijeljina	2-3 HT 0-1	Zeljeznicar

Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Zrinjski Mostar	8	7	0	1	17	5	21
2	Borac Banja Luka	8	6	1	1	15	7	19
3	FK Sarajevo	8	4	1	3	6	5	13
4	Zeljeznicar	8	3	3	2	10	9	12
5	Siroki Brijeg	8	2	3	3	10	11	9
6	FK Sloga Doboj	8	2	3	3	5	8	9
7	NK Celik Zenica	8	2	2	4	11	12	8
8	BSK Banja Luka	8	2	2	4	12	14	8
9	Velez Mostar	8	2	1	5	6	14	7
10	Radnik Bijeljina	8	0	4	4	12	19	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Radnik Bijeljina	Zeljeznicar
BSK Banja Luka	4-4 D	2-1 W
NK Celik Zenica	2-3 L	1-1 D
FK Sloga Doboj	1-2 L	1-1 D
Velez Mostar	1-1 D	3-1 W
Borac Banja Luka	2-2 D	0-2 L
Siroki Brijeg	1-2 L	1-1 D
Zrinjski Mostar	1-5 L	0-2 L
FK Sarajevo	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 4 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Zeljeznicar (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Radnik Bijeljina

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	2-1	4-4	2	9	D
11/09	NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-2	2-3	3	4	L
05/09	FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-0	1-2	1	7	L
02/09	Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	1-1	1	3	D
30/08	Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-0	2-2	10	3	D
22/08	Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
16/08	Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-2	1-5	4	1	L
08/08	FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
25/05	Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-2	0-4	1	5	L
22/05	Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D

Zeljeznicar

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
13/09	FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-1	1-1	1	4	D
09/09	FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	2-0	2	4	W
06/09	Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	2-0	3-1	5	1	W
02/09	Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
29/08	Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	1-1	5	0	D
23/08	Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-1	0-2	0	2	L
07/08	BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
25/05	FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
21/05	Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	2-1	2-2	5	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Radnik Bijeljina win (42%). Probabilities: Radnik Bijeljina 42%, draw 30%, Zeljeznicar 29%.

How many goals are expected in Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Radnik Bijeljina 1.31 · Zeljeznicar 1.05), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.