Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 10/10, 17:00

Prediction: FK Sloga Doboj vs Zrinjski Mostar

Team pages: FK Sloga Doboj · Zrinjski Mostar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.96Total

FK Sloga Doboj0.64

Zrinjski Mostar1.32

1X2

18% 29% 53%

FK Sloga Doboj Draw Zrinjski Mostar

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-1 17%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Sloga Doboj 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Zrinjski Mostar 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FK Sloga Doboj 0–6 Zrinjski Mostar (6 last)

FK Sloga Doboj0-3Zrinjski Mostar
Zrinjski Mostar1-0FK Sloga Doboj
FK Sloga Doboj0-1Zrinjski Mostar
Zrinjski Mostar3-0FK Sloga Doboj
FK Sloga Doboj0-4Zrinjski Mostar
FK Sloga Doboj0-1Zrinjski Mostar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Sloga Doboj 1451 · Zrinjski Mostar 1614

	FK Sloga Doboj	Draw	Zrinjski Mostar
Our model	17%	31%	52%
Market	19%	27%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 1.96 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zrinjski Mostar (rating 1451 vs 1614).
H2H favours Zrinjski Mostar: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Sloga Doboj	Zrinjski Mostar
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 0.8	2.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.8	3.4 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.75

X3.30

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.90

2 (-0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
17:19 +4’	4.75	3.30	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Sloga Doboj 0–0–6 Zrinjski Mostar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	FK Sloga Doboj	0-3 HT 0-1	Zrinjski Mostar
06/02/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	Zrinjski Mostar	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Sloga Doboj
18/10/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	FK Sloga Doboj	0-1 HT 0-0	Zrinjski Mostar
17/09/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	Zrinjski Mostar	3-0 HT 2-0	FK Sloga Doboj
23/04/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	FK Sloga Doboj	0-4 HT 0-2	Zrinjski Mostar
02/11/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	FK Sloga Doboj	0-1 HT 0-0	Zrinjski Mostar

Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Zrinjski Mostar	8	7	0	1	17	5	21
2	Borac Banja Luka	8	6	1	1	15	7	19
3	FK Sarajevo	8	4	1	3	6	5	13
4	Zeljeznicar	8	3	3	2	10	9	12
5	Siroki Brijeg	8	2	3	3	10	11	9
6	FK Sloga Doboj	8	2	3	3	5	8	9
7	NK Celik Zenica	8	2	2	4	11	12	8
8	BSK Banja Luka	8	2	2	4	12	14	8
9	Velez Mostar	8	2	1	5	6	14	7
10	Radnik Bijeljina	8	0	4	4	12	19	4

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Sloga Doboj	Zrinjski Mostar
FK Sarajevo	0-2 L	1-0 W
Borac Banja Luka	1-2 L	0-1 L
Zeljeznicar	1-1 D	2-0 W
Radnik Bijeljina	2-1 W	5-1 W
NK Celik Zenica	0-0 D	2-1 W
BSK Banja Luka	1-0 W	3-1 W
Velez Mostar	0-2 L	2-0 W
Siroki Brijeg	0-0 D	2-1 W
FK Rudar Prijedor	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 3 L	7 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Zrinjski Mostar (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Sloga Doboj

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-1	0-2	5	8	L
16/09	Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-2	1-2	2	3	L
13/09	Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-0	1-1	8	4	D
05/09	Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-1	2-1	6	7	W
01/09	NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
29/08	BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
22/08	Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
08/08	Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
26/05	FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
22/05	HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	1-0	2	7	W

Zrinjski Mostar

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
12/09	Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-1	0-1	5	10	L
06/09	Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	2-1	2-1	1	5	W
01/09	BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	3-1	7	2	W
29/08	FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
23/08	Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
16/08	Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	2-1	5-1	2	1	W
09/08	NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-1	2-1	8	1	W
26/05	Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	2-0	3-0	2	4	W
22/05	FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	2-2	2-2	4	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Sloga Doboj vs Zrinjski Mostar?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Zrinjski Mostar win (53%). Probabilities: FK Sloga Doboj 18%, draw 29%, Zrinjski Mostar 53%.

How many goals are expected in FK Sloga Doboj vs Zrinjski Mostar?

The model expects 1.96 goals (FK Sloga Doboj 0.64 · Zrinjski Mostar 1.32), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Sloga Doboj vs Zrinjski Mostar?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.