Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 17/10, 16:00
Prediction: Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo
Team pages: Radnik Bijeljina · FK Sarajevo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Radnik Bijeljina1.05
FK Sarajevo1.29
1X2
Radnik Bijeljina
Draw
FK Sarajevo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Radnik Bijeljina
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
FK Sarajevo
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Radnik Bijeljina
0–4–2
FK Sarajevo
(6 last)
- FK Sarajevo0-0Radnik Bijeljina
- Radnik Bijeljina1-2FK Sarajevo
- FK Sarajevo2-0Radnik Bijeljina
- Radnik Bijeljina2-2FK Sarajevo
- FK Sarajevo4-4Radnik Bijeljina
- FK Sarajevo1-1Radnik Bijeljina
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Radnik Bijeljina 1427 · FK Sarajevo 1554
| Radnik Bijeljina | Draw | FK Sarajevo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 30% | 41% |
| Market | 29% | 30% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Sarajevo (rating 1427 vs 1554).
- H2H favours FK Sarajevo: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Radnik Bijeljina | FK Sarajevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.4 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.8 | 2.4 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Radnik Bijeljina 0–4–2 FK Sarajevo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | FK Sarajevo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Radnik Bijeljina |
| 18/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Radnik Bijeljina | 1-2 HT 1-1 | FK Sarajevo |
| 06/02/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | FK Sarajevo | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Radnik Bijeljina |
| 18/10/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Radnik Bijeljina | 2-2 HT 1-0 | FK Sarajevo |
| 03/08/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | FK Sarajevo | 4-4 HT 1-0 | Radnik Bijeljina |
| 25/05/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | FK Sarajevo | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Radnik Bijeljina |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski Mostar | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | FK Sarajevo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Zeljeznicar | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| 5 | Siroki Brijeg | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 6 | NK Celik Zenica | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
| 7 | FK Sloga Doboj | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 9 |
| 8 | BSK Banja Luka | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 8 |
| 9 | Velez Mostar | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 8 |
| 10 | Radnik Bijeljina | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Radnik Bijeljina | FK Sarajevo |
|---|---|---|
| Zeljeznicar | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| BSK Banja Luka | 4-4 D | 1-0 W |
| NK Celik Zenica | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| FK Sloga Doboj | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Velez Mostar | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Borac Banja Luka | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Siroki Brijeg | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Zrinjski Mostar | 1-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Sarajevo (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Radnik Bijeljina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 11/09 | NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 02/09 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 25/05 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
FK Sarajevo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 13/09 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/09 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/09 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 29/08 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 21/08 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 25/05 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Sarajevo win (41%). Probabilities: Radnik Bijeljina 29%, draw 30%, FK Sarajevo 41%.
How many goals are expected in Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Radnik Bijeljina 1.05 · FK Sarajevo 1.29), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.