Football · Ghana Premier League · 11/10, 17:00

Prediction: Young Apostles vs Aduana Stars

Team pages: Young Apostles · Aduana Stars

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Young Apostles1.32
Aduana Stars0.92
1X2
45% 30% 25%
Young Apostles Draw Aduana Stars
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Young Apostles 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LWWLWLWLLL
Aduana Stars 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLDWLDLWWW
Head-to-head
Young Apostles 1–2–1 Aduana Stars (4 last)
  • Aduana Stars3-1Young Apostles
  • Young Apostles2-2Aduana Stars
  • Aduana Stars2-2Young Apostles
  • Young Apostles3-2Aduana Stars
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Young Apostles 1467 · Aduana Stars 1515
Young ApostlesDrawAduana Stars
Our model45%31%25%
Market45%30%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aduana Stars (rating 1467 vs 1515).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Young ApostlesAduana Stars
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.50.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.70.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.5 / 51.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 03 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Young Apostles 1–2–1 Aduana Stars

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/26
Ghana Premier League
Aduana Stars3-1
HT 1-1
Young Apostles
28/12/25
Ghana Premier League
Young Apostles2-2
HT 1-0
Aduana Stars
02/04/25
Ghana Premier League
Aduana Stars2-2
HT 0-0
Young Apostles
29/09/24
Ghana Premier League
Young Apostles3-2
HT 1-2
Aduana Stars

Standings · Ghana Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Medeama SC 5320 9411
2 Samartex 5320 7311
3 Port City FC Ghana 5311 8410
4 Aduana Stars 5311 6310
5 Basake Holy Stars FC 5302 459
6 Swedru All Blacks Utd 6222 448
7 Asante Kotoko 6222 678
8 Heart of Lions 5221 658
9 Hearts of Oak 5221 628
10 Ashanti Gold 5212 877
11 Bechem FC 5212 467
12 Vision FC 5131 656
13 Karela United FC 5203 676
14 Debibi United 5113 664
15 Bibiani Gold Stars 5113 474
16 Berekum Chelsea 5113 594
17 Young Apostles 5104 293
18 Dreams 5023 592

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentYoung ApostlesAduana Stars
Samartex 0-1 L 0-1 L
Heart of Lions 1-2 L 0-0 D
Basake Holy Stars FC 1-0 W 0-2 L
Vision FC 0-3 L 0-3 L
Karela United FC 1-2 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 4 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Aduana Stars (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Young Apostles

LWWLWLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Samartex
Ghana Premier League
0-1 0-1 –– L
27/09 Heart of Lions
Ghana Premier League
1-0 1-2 –– L
20/09 Debibi United
Ghana Premier League
0-3 0-3 –– L
13/09 Basake Holy Stars FC
Ghana Premier League
1-0 1-0 –– W
05/09 Vision FC
Ghana Premier League
0-2 0-3 64 L
24/05 Samartex
Ghana Premier League
2-0 2-0 –– W
17/05 Aduana Stars
Ghana Premier League
1-1 1-3 11 L
10/05 Nations FC
Ghana Premier League
1-0 1-0 82 W
06/05 Vision FC
Ghana Premier League
2-0 3-1 –– W
03/05 Karela United FC
Ghana Premier League
0-0 1-2 –– L

Aduana Stars

DLDWLDLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Swedru All Blacks Utd
Ghana Premier League
1-1 2-1 93 W
27/09 Asante Kotoko
Ghana Premier League
1-0 2-0 25 W
20/09 Karela United FC
Ghana Premier League
1-0 2-1 34 W
13/09 Samartex
Ghana Premier League
0-0 0-1 116 L
06/09 Heart of Lions
Ghana Premier League
0-0 0-0 52 D
24/05 Vision FC
Ghana Premier League
0-1 0-3 05 L
17/05 Young Apostles
Ghana Premier League
1-1 3-1 41 W
10/05 Hearts of Oak
Ghana Premier League
0-0 0-0 23 D
06/05 Basake Holy Stars FC
Ghana Premier League
0-1 0-2 00 L
03/05 Heart of Lions
Ghana Premier League
0-0 0-0 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Young Apostles vs Aduana Stars?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Young Apostles win (45%). Probabilities: Young Apostles 45%, draw 30%, Aduana Stars 25%.

How many goals are expected in Young Apostles vs Aduana Stars?

The model expects 2.24 goals (Young Apostles 1.32 · Aduana Stars 0.92), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Young Apostles vs Aduana Stars?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.