Football · Ghana Premier League · 11/10, 17:00

Prediction: Karela United FC vs Dreams

Team pages: Karela United FC · Dreams

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.3Total

Karela United FC1.49

Dreams0.81

1X2

52% 29% 19%

Karela United FC Draw Dreams

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Karela United FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDLWLLWLWL

Dreams 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLLDLD

Head-to-head

Karela United FC 2–2–2 Dreams (6 last)

Dreams0-1Karela United FC
Karela United FC1-1Dreams
Karela United FC1-2Dreams
Dreams0-1Karela United FC
Dreams1-0Karela United FC
Karela United FC0-0Dreams

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karela United FC 1491 · Dreams 1487

	Karela United FC	Draw	Dreams
Our model	52%	29%	19%
Market	52%	29%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Karela United FC	Dreams
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.2	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.2	3.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	4.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.10

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
04:31 +6’	1.73	3.10	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Karela United FC 2–2–2 Dreams

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Ghana Premier League	Dreams	0-1 HT 0-0	Karela United FC
09/11/25 Ghana Premier League	Karela United FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Dreams
27/04/25 Ghana Premier League	Karela United FC	1-2 HT 0-2	Dreams
24/11/24 Ghana Premier League	Dreams	0-1 HT 0-0	Karela United FC
02/06/24 Ghana Premier League	Dreams	1-0 HT 1-0	Karela United FC
17/01/24 Ghana Premier League	Karela United FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Dreams

Standings · Ghana Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Medeama SC	5	3	2	0	9	4	11
2	Samartex	5	3	2	0	7	3	11
3	Port City FC Ghana	5	3	1	1	8	4	10
4	Aduana Stars	5	3	1	1	6	3	10
5	Basake Holy Stars FC	5	3	0	2	4	5	9
6	Swedru All Blacks Utd	6	2	2	2	4	4	8
7	Asante Kotoko	6	2	2	2	6	7	8
8	Heart of Lions	5	2	2	1	6	5	8
9	Hearts of Oak	5	2	2	1	6	2	8
10	Ashanti Gold	5	2	1	2	8	7	7
11	Bechem FC	5	2	1	2	4	6	7
12	Vision FC	5	1	3	1	6	5	6
13	Karela United FC	5	2	0	3	6	7	6
14	Debibi United	5	1	1	3	6	6	4
15	Bibiani Gold Stars	5	1	1	3	4	7	4
16	Berekum Chelsea	5	1	1	3	5	9	4
17	Young Apostles	5	1	0	4	2	9	3
18	Dreams	5	0	2	3	5	9	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Karela United FC	Dreams
Asante Kotoko	0-1 L	2-0 W
Hearts of Oak	1-0 W	0-0 D
Bechem FC	3-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Karela United FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karela United FC

WDLWLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/10	Asante Kotoko Ghana Premier League	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
26/09	Hearts of Oak Ghana Premier League	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
20/09	Aduana Stars Ghana Premier League	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
13/09	Bechem FC Ghana Premier League	1-1	3-1	5	4	W
06/09	Samartex Ghana Premier League	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
24/05	Nations FC Ghana Premier League	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
17/05	Swedru All Blacks Utd Ghana Premier League	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
10/05	Vision FC Ghana Premier League	0-1	0-3	0	1	L
06/05	Hearts of Oak Ghana Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
03/05	Young Apostles Ghana Premier League	0-0	2-1	–	–	W

Dreams

WWLWWLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Hearts of Oak Ghana Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
27/09	Bechem FC Ghana Premier League	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
23/09	Medeama SC Ghana Premier League	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
20/09	Bibiani Gold Stars Ghana Premier League	1-0	2-3	4	6	L
13/09	Berekum Chelsea Ghana Premier League	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
24/05	Basake Holy Stars FC Ghana Premier League	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
17/05	Bibiani Gold Stars Ghana Premier League	1-0	3-1	5	10	W
10/05	Berekum Chelsea Ghana Premier League	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
06/05	Bechem FC Ghana Premier League	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
03/05	Asante Kotoko Ghana Premier League	1-0	2-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Karela United FC vs Dreams?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Karela United FC win (52%). Probabilities: Karela United FC 52%, draw 29%, Dreams 19%.

How many goals are expected in Karela United FC vs Dreams?

The model expects 2.3 goals (Karela United FC 1.49 · Dreams 0.81), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Karela United FC vs Dreams?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.