Football · Ghana Premier League · 11/10, 17:00

Prediction: Bibiani Gold Stars vs Basake Holy Stars FC

Team pages: Bibiani Gold Stars · Basake Holy Stars FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

Bibiani Gold Stars2.25

Basake Holy Stars FC0.56

1X2

75% 18% 7%

Bibiani Gold Stars Draw Basake Holy Stars FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Bibiani Gold Stars 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLLWLD

Basake Holy Stars FC 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLWLW

Head-to-head

Bibiani Gold Stars 4–1 Basake Holy Stars FC (5 last)

Bibiani Gold Stars3-0Basake Holy Stars FC
Basake Holy Stars FC0-1Bibiani Gold Stars
Basake Holy Stars FC2-0Bibiani Gold Stars
Basake Holy Stars FC0-1Bibiani Gold Stars
Bibiani Gold Stars1-0Basake Holy Stars FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bibiani Gold Stars 1506 · Basake Holy Stars FC 1462

	Bibiani Gold Stars	Draw	Basake Holy Stars FC
Our model	75%	18%	7%
Market	75%	18%	7%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bibiani Gold Stars (rating 1506 vs 1462).
H2H favours Bibiani Gold Stars: 4-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bibiani Gold Stars	Basake Holy Stars FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.5	0.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/11/56%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.7	1 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	1.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.20

X5.00

213.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.80

2 (+1.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
03:19 +12’	1.20	5.00	13.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bibiani Gold Stars 4–0–1 Basake Holy Stars FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Ghana Premier League	Bibiani Gold Stars	3-0 HT 2-0	Basake Holy Stars FC
03/12/25 Ghana FA Cup	Basake Holy Stars FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Bibiani Gold Stars
09/11/25 Ghana Premier League	Basake Holy Stars FC	2-0 HT 2-0	Bibiani Gold Stars
19/03/25 Ghana Premier League	Basake Holy Stars FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Bibiani Gold Stars
22/09/24 Ghana Premier League	Bibiani Gold Stars	1-0 HT 0-0	Basake Holy Stars FC

Standings · Ghana Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Medeama SC	5	3	2	0	9	4	11
2	Samartex	5	3	2	0	7	3	11
3	Port City FC Ghana	5	3	1	1	8	4	10
4	Aduana Stars	5	3	1	1	6	3	10
5	Basake Holy Stars FC	5	3	0	2	4	5	9
6	Swedru All Blacks Utd	6	2	2	2	4	4	8
7	Asante Kotoko	6	2	2	2	6	7	8
8	Heart of Lions	5	2	2	1	6	5	8
9	Hearts of Oak	5	2	2	1	6	2	8
10	Ashanti Gold	5	2	1	2	8	7	7
11	Bechem FC	5	2	1	2	4	6	7
12	Vision FC	5	1	3	1	6	5	6
13	Karela United FC	5	2	0	3	6	7	6
14	Debibi United	5	1	1	3	6	6	4
15	Bibiani Gold Stars	5	1	1	3	4	7	4
16	Berekum Chelsea	5	1	1	3	5	9	4
17	Young Apostles	5	1	0	4	2	9	3
18	Dreams	5	0	2	3	5	9	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bibiani Gold Stars	Basake Holy Stars FC
Dreams	3-2 W	1-4 L
Samartex	2-0 W	1-3 L
Medeama SC	0-2 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bibiani Gold Stars (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bibiani Gold Stars

LWWLWLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Vision FC Ghana Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
27/09	Port City FC Ghana Ghana Premier League	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
20/09	Dreams Ghana Premier League	0-1	3-2	6	6	W
13/09	Hearts of Oak Ghana Premier League	1-0	1-2	9	3	L
06/09	Bechem FC Ghana Premier League	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
24/05	Eleven Wonders Ghana Premier League	2-1	8-3	–	–	W
17/05	Dreams Ghana Premier League	0-1	1-3	1	10	L
10/05	Hohoe United FC Ghana Premier League	–	3-0	–	–	W
06/05	Samartex Ghana Premier League	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
03/05	Medeama SC Ghana Premier League	0-2	0-2	3	1	L

Basake Holy Stars FC

LLWLLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Berekum Chelsea Ghana Premier League	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	Medeama SC Ghana Premier League	1-4	1-4	5	2	L
20/09	Ashanti Gold Ghana Premier League	1-0	1-0	0	0	W
13/09	Young Apostles Ghana Premier League	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	Swedru All Blacks Utd Ghana Premier League	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
24/05	Dreams Ghana Premier League	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
10/05	Medeama SC Ghana Premier League	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
06/05	Aduana Stars Ghana Premier League	1-0	2-0	4	0	W
03/05	Samartex Ghana Premier League	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
12/04	Nations FC Ghana Premier League	0-2	0-2	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bibiani Gold Stars vs Basake Holy Stars FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bibiani Gold Stars win (75%). Probabilities: Bibiani Gold Stars 75%, draw 18%, Basake Holy Stars FC 7%.

How many goals are expected in Bibiani Gold Stars vs Basake Holy Stars FC?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Bibiani Gold Stars 2.25 · Basake Holy Stars FC 0.56), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bibiani Gold Stars vs Basake Holy Stars FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.