Football · Australia NPL Victoria · 11/09, 11:30
Prediction: Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne
Team pages: Oakleigh Cannons · South Melbourne
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Oakleigh Cannons1.39
South Melbourne1.14
1X2
Oakleigh Cannons
Draw
South Melbourne
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Oakleigh Cannons
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
South Melbourne
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oakleigh Cannons
4–1–1
South Melbourne
(6 last)
- Oakleigh Cannons1-2South Melbourne
- South Melbourne0-3Oakleigh Cannons
- Oakleigh Cannons3-0South Melbourne
- South Melbourne1-2Oakleigh Cannons
- South Melbourne0-1Oakleigh Cannons
- Oakleigh Cannons0-0South Melbourne
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oakleigh Cannons 1559 · South Melbourne 1543
| Oakleigh Cannons | Draw | South Melbourne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 29% | 30% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Oakleigh Cannons: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oakleigh Cannons | South Melbourne | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.9 | 2.9 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oakleigh Cannons 4–1–1 South Melbourne
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/26 Australia NPL Victoria | Oakleigh Cannons | 1-2 HT 0-0 | South Melbourne |
| 19/04/26 Australia NPL Victoria | South Melbourne | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Oakleigh Cannons |
| 23/08/25 Australia NPL Victoria | Oakleigh Cannons | 3-0 HT 1-0 | South Melbourne |
| 11/05/25 Australia NPL Victoria | South Melbourne | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Oakleigh Cannons |
| 07/09/24 Australia NPL Victoria | South Melbourne | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Oakleigh Cannons |
| 03/08/24 Australia Victoria Cup | Oakleigh Cannons | 0-0 HT 0-0 | South Melbourne |
Standings · Australia NPL Victoria
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 56 | 24 | 54 |
| 2 | Hume City | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 49 |
| 3 | Avondale | 26 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 65 | 34 | 47 |
| 4 | Preston Lions | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 19 | 42 |
| 5 | South Melbourne | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 36 | 41 |
| 6 | Heidelberg Utd | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 42 | 34 | 40 |
| 7 | Caroline Springs George Cross FC | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 35 | 34 | 38 |
| 8 | St Albans Saints | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 43 | 34 |
| 9 | Dandenong City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 31 | 33 |
| 10 | Melbourne City FC 2 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 42 | 30 |
| 11 | Altona Magic | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 42 | 28 |
| 12 | Bentleigh Greens | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 51 | 24 |
| 13 | Green Gully | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 52 | 18 |
| 14 | Dandenong Thunder | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 23 | 65 | 15 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Oakleigh Cannons | South Melbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Dandenong City | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Dandenong Thunder | 5-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Green Gully | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Caroline Springs George Cross FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Heidelberg Utd | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Melbourne City FC 2 | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Oakleigh Cannons (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oakleigh Cannons
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria |
1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 14/08 | Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 31/07 | Bentleigh Greens Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 24/07 | South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Hume City Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/07 | Avondale Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Caroline Springs George Cross FC Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 26/06 | Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 19/06 | Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
South Melbourne
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Caroline Springs George Cross FC Australia NPL Victoria |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 15/08 | Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 24/07 | Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 10/07 | Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 05/07 | Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria |
0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Oakleigh Cannons win (42%). Probabilities: Oakleigh Cannons 42%, draw 28%, South Melbourne 30%.
How many goals are expected in Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Oakleigh Cannons 1.39 · South Melbourne 1.14), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.