Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 19/10, 17:30
Prediction: AS Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek
Team pages: AS Nordia Jerusalem · Hapoel Marmorek
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
AS Nordia Jerusalem0.89
Hapoel Marmorek2.01
1X2
AS Nordia Jerusalem
Draw
Hapoel Marmorek
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
0-2 11%
Recent form · 10 last
AS Nordia Jerusalem
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Marmorek
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AS Nordia Jerusalem
4–1–1
Hapoel Marmorek
(6 last)
- Hapoel Marmorek0-3AS Nordia Jerusalem
- Hapoel Marmorek0-1AS Nordia Jerusalem
- AS Nordia Jerusalem2-1Hapoel Marmorek
- AS Nordia Jerusalem1-1Hapoel Marmorek
- Hapoel Marmorek0-1AS Nordia Jerusalem
- Hapoel Marmorek2-1AS Nordia Jerusalem
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AS Nordia Jerusalem 1387 · Hapoel Marmorek 1467
| AS Nordia Jerusalem | Draw | Hapoel Marmorek | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 23% | 63% |
| Market | 16% | 21% | 64% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Marmorek (rating 1387 vs 1467).
- H2H favours AS Nordia Jerusalem: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AS Nordia Jerusalem | Hapoel Marmorek | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.9 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/33/56% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.7 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.3 | 5.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AS Nordia Jerusalem 4–1–1 Hapoel Marmorek
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/25 Israel Liga Alef South | Hapoel Marmorek | 0-3 HT 0-1 | AS Nordia Jerusalem |
| 01/03/25 Israel Liga Alef South | Hapoel Marmorek | 0-1 HT 0-0 | AS Nordia Jerusalem |
| 05/11/24 Israel Liga Alef South | AS Nordia Jerusalem | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Hapoel Marmorek |
| 26/02/24 Israel Liga Alef South | AS Nordia Jerusalem | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Marmorek |
| 22/09/23 Israel Liga Alef South | Hapoel Marmorek | 0-1 HT 0-1 | AS Nordia Jerusalem |
| 13/04/22 Israel Liga Alef South | Hapoel Marmorek | 2-1 HT 1-0 | AS Nordia Jerusalem |
Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Sport Club Dimona | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Hapoel Herzliya | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | MS Jerusalem | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Maccabi Yavne | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Hapoel Hadera | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | Hapoel Azor | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Ironi Beit Shemesh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 8 |
| 12 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 13 | Maccabi Ironi Sderot | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 14 | Hapoel Marmorek | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | Kfar Saba 1928 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 4 |
| 16 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 17 | Tzeirey Tira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 | AS Nordia Jerusalem | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AS Nordia Jerusalem | Hapoel Marmorek |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Holon Yaniv | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Hapoel Hadera | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Hapoel Herzliya | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hapoel Marmorek (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AS Nordia Jerusalem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 0-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/09 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 23/09 | Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 18/09 | MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 09/09 | Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/09 | Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/02 | Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 20/02 | MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/02 | Tzeirey Tira Israel Liga Alef South |
1-3 | 2-5 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 06/02 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
Hapoel Marmorek
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 01/10 | Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 23/09 | Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 18/09 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 09/09 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 04/09 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 27/02 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 20/02 | Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 13/02 | Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 05/02 | FC Beitar Yavne Israel Liga Alef South |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AS Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hapoel Marmorek win (63%). Probabilities: AS Nordia Jerusalem 15%, draw 22%, Hapoel Marmorek 63%.
How many goals are expected in AS Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek?
The model expects 2.9 goals (AS Nordia Jerusalem 0.89 · Hapoel Marmorek 2.01), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in AS Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.