Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 19/10, 17:45

Prediction: Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Holon Yaniv

Team pages: Maccabi Yavne · Hapoel Holon Yaniv

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

Maccabi Yavne1.49

Hapoel Holon Yaniv0.95

1X2

49% 27% 24%

Maccabi Yavne Draw Hapoel Holon Yaniv

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Maccabi Yavne 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWWLDDWD

Hapoel Holon Yaniv 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDDWLWLW

Head-to-head

Maccabi Yavne 1–3–2 Hapoel Holon Yaniv (6 last)

Maccabi Yavne1-1Hapoel Holon Yaniv
Hapoel Holon Yaniv2-1Maccabi Yavne
Maccabi Yavne1-0Hapoel Holon Yaniv
Hapoel Holon Yaniv1-0Maccabi Yavne
Maccabi Yavne0-0Hapoel Holon Yaniv
Hapoel Holon Yaniv0-0Maccabi Yavne

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maccabi Yavne 1527 · Hapoel Holon Yaniv 1514

	Maccabi Yavne	Draw	Hapoel Holon Yaniv
Our model	49%	29%	23%
Market	50%	26%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hapoel Holon Yaniv: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maccabi Yavne	Hapoel Holon Yaniv
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.9	1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/22/44%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.3	2.5 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.6	3.7 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.50

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
08:53 +22’	1.80	3.50	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Yavne 1–3–2 Hapoel Holon Yaniv

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/02/26 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Yavne	1-1 HT 0-1	Hapoel Holon Yaniv
20/10/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	2-1 HT 1-1	Maccabi Yavne
04/04/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Yavne	1-0 HT 1-0	Hapoel Holon Yaniv
10/12/24 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	1-0 HT 1-0	Maccabi Yavne
08/03/24 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Yavne	0-0 HT 0-0	Hapoel Holon Yaniv
08/12/23 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	0-0 HT 0-0	Maccabi Yavne

Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sport Club Dimona	6	5	0	1	12	8	15
2	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	6	4	2	0	12	3	14
3	Shimshon Tel Aviv	6	4	1	1	13	6	13
4	Hapoel Herzliya	6	3	3	0	6	2	12
5	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	6	3	3	0	6	3	12
6	MS Jerusalem	6	3	2	1	9	5	11
7	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	6	3	1	2	8	5	10
8	Maccabi Yavne	6	2	3	1	9	3	9
9	Hapoel Hadera	6	2	3	1	8	4	9
10	Hapoel Azor	6	2	2	2	5	7	8
11	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	6	1	4	1	8	7	7
12	Maccabi Ironi Sderot	6	2	1	3	7	8	7
13	Ironi Beit Shemesh	6	2	1	3	8	14	7
14	Hapoel Marmorek	6	1	2	3	5	7	5
15	Kfar Saba 1928	6	1	1	4	7	10	4
16	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	6	0	3	3	4	8	3
17	Tzeirey Tira	6	0	0	6	2	13	0
18	AS Nordia Jerusalem	6	0	0	6	2	18	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maccabi Yavne	Hapoel Holon Yaniv
Kfar Saba 1928	4-2 W	1-0 W
Shimshon Tel Aviv	2-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Maccabi Yavne (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maccabi Yavne

LWDWWLDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
01/10	Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South	3-0	5-1	5	6	W
24/09	MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	–	1-1	0	0	D
18/09	Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
09/09	Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	0-1	1	8	L
03/09	Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
27/02	Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	4-2	8	6	W
20/02	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
12/02	Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	2-1	4	9	W
06/02	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-2	7	6	L

Hapoel Holon Yaniv

LWDDDWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/10	AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	5-0	9	3	W
30/09	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	0-2	4	6	L
24/09	Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
17/09	Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South	0-2	1-3	6	4	L
09/09	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
04/09	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
27/02	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
20/02	Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
13/02	FC Beitar Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
05/02	Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-2	6	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Holon Yaniv?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Yavne win (49%). Probabilities: Maccabi Yavne 49%, draw 27%, Hapoel Holon Yaniv 24%.

How many goals are expected in Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Holon Yaniv?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Maccabi Yavne 1.49 · Hapoel Holon Yaniv 0.95), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Holon Yaniv?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.