Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 08/10, 19:00

Prediction: Sport Club Tira vs Ironi Nesher

Team pages: Sport Club Tira · Ironi Nesher

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Sport Club Tira1.07

Ironi Nesher1.62

1X2

25% 25% 50%

Sport Club Tira Draw Ironi Nesher

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Sport Club Tira 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WLWDDWWDDW

Ironi Nesher 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWLDWWWDW

Head-to-head

Sport Club Tira 2–2–2 Ironi Nesher (6 last)

Sport Club Tira0-2Ironi Nesher
Ironi Nesher2-3Sport Club Tira
Ironi Nesher1-0Sport Club Tira
Sport Club Tira3-0Ironi Nesher
Ironi Nesher0-0Sport Club Tira
Ironi Nesher2-2Sport Club Tira

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sport Club Tira 1566 · Ironi Nesher 1567

	Sport Club Tira	Draw	Ironi Nesher
Our model	24%	27%	49%
Market	26%	22%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sport Club Tira	Ironi Nesher
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.7	2.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.1	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/67/0%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	2.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	5.4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

13.40

X4.00

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)2.00

2 (-0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:59 +9’	3.40	4.00	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sport Club Tira 2–2–2 Ironi Nesher

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/02/26 Israel Liga Alef North	Sport Club Tira	0-2 HT 0-0	Ironi Nesher
26/09/25 Israel Liga Alef North	Ironi Nesher	2-3	Sport Club Tira
30/12/24 Israel Liga Alef North	Ironi Nesher	1-0 HT 0-0	Sport Club Tira
04/04/24 Israel Liga Alef North	Sport Club Tira	3-0	Ironi Nesher
15/01/24 Israel Liga Alef North	Ironi Nesher	0-0 HT 0-0	Sport Club Tira
27/01/23 Israel Liga Alef North	Ironi Nesher	2-2 HT 1-0	Sport Club Tira

Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ironi Nesher	5	4	1	0	18	4	13
2	Beitar Nahariya	5	4	0	1	9	5	12
3	Sport Club Tira	5	3	2	0	10	4	11
4	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	5	3	1	1	14	7	10
5	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	5	2	3	0	8	3	9
6	Hapoel Nof HaGalil	4	2	1	1	8	7	7
7	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	4	1	3	0	7	6	6
8	FC Tzeirey Tamra	5	2	0	3	7	14	6
9	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq	4	1	2	1	9	8	5
10	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye	5	1	2	2	7	8	5
11	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	5	1	2	2	3	6	5
12	Hapoel Bnei Jat United	5	1	1	3	7	11	4
13	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	3	1	0	2	5	5	3
14	Hapoel Beit Shean	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
15	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	5	1	0	4	7	11	3
16	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	5	0	3	2	4	8	3
17	Maccabi Umm al-Fahm	3	0	2	1	2	6	2
18	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	5	0	1	4	2	14	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sport Club Tira	Ironi Nesher
Hapoel Ironi Arraba	4-0 W	3-1 W
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	0-0 D	1-1 D
FC Tzeirey Tamra	3-1 W	6-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sport Club Tira

WLWDDWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North	2-1	3-2	7	3	W
23/09	Hapoel Bnei Musmus Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	1-1	1	6	D
18/09	Hapoel Bnei Jat United Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	1-1	0	7	D
10/09	Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North	–	4-0	–	–	W
04/09	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-0	0	5	W
26/02	Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
19/02	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
13/02	FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	3-1	11	3	W
06/02	Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-2	6	4	L
30/01	Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-0	6	2	W

Ironi Nesher

DWWLDWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	Beitar Nahariya Israel Liga Alef North	3-0	4-1	4	3	W
23/09	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	1-1	3	9	D
18/09	Maccabi Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	2-0	5-1	6	4	W
09/09	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North	2-0	2-0	3	8	W
04/09	FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North	2-0	6-1	7	3	W
27/02	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	7	8	D
19/02	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North	0-2	0-3	2	9	L
13/02	Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	3-1	1	10	W
06/02	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
30/01	Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	1-1	4	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sport Club Tira vs Ironi Nesher?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ironi Nesher win (50%). Probabilities: Sport Club Tira 25%, draw 25%, Ironi Nesher 50%.

How many goals are expected in Sport Club Tira vs Ironi Nesher?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Sport Club Tira 1.07 · Ironi Nesher 1.62), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sport Club Tira vs Ironi Nesher?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.