Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 05/09, 20:00

Prediction: Canuelas FC vs Lujan

Team pages: Canuelas FC · Lujan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.08Total

Canuelas FC0.93

Lujan1.16

1X2

28% 32% 40%

Canuelas FC Draw Lujan

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Canuelas FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWLLWW

Lujan 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWLWDW

Head-to-head

Canuelas FC 1–1–4 Lujan (6 last)

Lujan2-1Canuelas FC
Lujan0-0Canuelas FC
Canuelas FC0-1Lujan
Lujan1-0Canuelas FC
Canuelas FC2-0Lujan
Canuelas FC2-3Lujan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Canuelas FC 1527 · Lujan 1564

	Canuelas FC	Draw	Lujan
Our model	28%	33%	40%
Market	28%	32%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.08 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Lujan: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Canuelas FC	Lujan
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.6	1.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.8	2.6 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

13.20

X2.75

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.75

Under 1.752.05

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.70 → 3.20▼	Bet365 3.20
X	2.80 → 2.75▼	Bet365 2.75
2	2.05 → 2.25▲	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:32 +27’	3.70	2.80	2.05
20:25 +15’	3.20▼	2.75▼	2.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Canuelas FC 1–1–4 Lujan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Lujan	2-1 HT 0-0	Canuelas FC
21/06/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Lujan	0-0 HT 0-0	Canuelas FC
08/03/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Canuelas FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Lujan
05/02/20 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Lujan	1-0 HT 0-0	Canuelas FC
14/08/19 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Canuelas FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Lujan
29/03/19 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Canuelas FC	2-3 HT 1-1	Lujan

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	26	14	7	5	37	19	49
2	Canuelas FC	26	12	9	5	29	18	45
3	Leones de Rosario	27	11	10	6	26	22	43
4	Deportivo Espanol	26	8	14	4	19	14	38
5	Central Cordoba de Rosario	26	9	9	8	24	21	36
6	General Lamadrid	26	9	9	8	22	25	36
7	Sportivo Barracas	26	10	5	11	29	26	35
8	CA Atlas	26	9	8	9	22	22	35
9	Yupanqui	27	8	9	10	31	31	33
10	El Porvenir	26	6	15	5	22	23	33
11	Central Ballester	26	8	7	11	25	27	31
12	Fenix	26	6	9	11	19	26	27
13	CA Claypole	26	6	8	12	19	34	26
14	Deportivo Muniz	26	4	10	12	17	30	22

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Canuelas FC	Lujan
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	1-2 L	2-0 W
Deportivo Muniz	0-1 L	4-0 W
Deportivo Espanol	1-0 W	0-0 D
Central Cordoba de Rosario	0-0 D	1-2 L
CA Claypole	2-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Canuelas FC

WDWWLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	1	3	W
22/08	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
15/08	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	1-2	4	10	L
09/08	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	2	6	L
03/08	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	5	7	W
25/07	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
18/07	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
11/07	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	0	9	W
05/07	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
30/06	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	6	6	W

Lujan

LWDWWWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	4-0	5	2	W
24/08	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
16/08	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
09/08	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	6	7	L
04/08	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
31/07	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	3-1	4	6	W
26/07	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	3-1	4	4	W
11/07	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
05/07	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-1	3	6	W
29/06	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Canuelas FC vs Lujan?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lujan win (40%). Probabilities: Canuelas FC 28%, draw 32%, Lujan 40%.

How many goals are expected in Canuelas FC vs Lujan?

The model expects 2.08 goals (Canuelas FC 0.93 · Lujan 1.16), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Canuelas FC vs Lujan?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.